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Introducing Connect Group (LON:CNCT), The Stock That Tanked 78%

As every investor would know, not every swing hits the sweet spot. But really bad investments should be rare. So consider, for a moment, the misfortune of Connect Group PLC (LON:CNCT) investors who have held the stock for three years as it declined a whopping 78%. That'd be enough to cause even the strongest minds some disquiet. It's down 1.8% in the last seven days.

View our latest analysis for Connect Group

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

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Over the three years that the share price declined, Connect Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped significantly, falling to a loss. This was, in part, due to extraordinary items impacting earnings. Due to the loss, it's not easy to use EPS as a reliable guide to the business. However, we can say we'd expect to see a falling share price in this scenario.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

LSE:CNCT Past and Future Earnings, August 28th 2019
LSE:CNCT Past and Future Earnings, August 28th 2019

This free interactive report on Connect Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Dividend Lost

It's important to keep in mind that we've been talking about the share price returns, which don't include dividends, while the total shareholder return does. By accounting for the value of dividends paid, the TSR can be seen as a more complete measure of the value a company brings to its shareholders. Over the last 3 years, Connect Group generated a TSR of -73%, which is, of course, better than the share price return. Even though the company isn't paying dividends at the moment, it has done in the past.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Connect Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 23% in the last twelve months. That certainly beats the loss of about 19% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. Before spending more time on Connect Group it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.