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Intuit (INTU) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

Have you been paying attention to shares of Intuit (INTU)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 6.8% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $275.92 in the previous session. Intuit has gained 39.6% since the start of the year compared to the 22.6% move for the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the 34% return for the Zacks Computer - Software industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on May 23, 2019, Intuit reported EPS of $5.55 versus consensus estimate of $5.39 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 1.14%.

For the current fiscal year, Intuit is expected to post earnings of $6.7 per share on $6.75 billion in revenues. This represents a 19.43% change in EPS on a 13.2% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $7.55 per share on $7.42 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 12.77% and 9.84%, respectively.

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Valuation Metrics

Intuit may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Intuit has a Value Score of D. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and D, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 41X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 49.5X versus its peer group's average of 26.2X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 2.55. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Intuit currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Intuit fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Intuit shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.

How Does Intuit Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of Intuit have been moving higher, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also solid potential picks, including Open Text (OTEX), Progress Software (PRGS), and Oracle (ORCL), all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.

The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 43% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Intuit, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.


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