Advertisement
UK markets closed
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,835.10
    +599.03 (+1.57%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    18,479.37
    -98.93 (-0.53%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    78.73
    +0.25 (+0.32%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,324.40
    -6.80 (-0.29%)
     
  • DOW

    38,864.61
    +12.34 (+0.03%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    50,660.79
    +180.98 (+0.36%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,315.44
    -49.69 (-3.64%)
     
  • NASDAQ Composite

    16,338.84
    -10.41 (-0.06%)
     
  • UK FTSE All Share

    4,522.99
    +53.90 (+1.21%)
     

Should You Investigate Covenant Transportation Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVTI) At US$12.64?

Covenant Transportation Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVTI), which is in the transportation business, and is based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NASDAQGS over the last few months, increasing to US$17.11 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$12.60. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Covenant Transportation Group's current trading price of US$12.64 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Covenant Transportation Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Covenant Transportation Group

What is Covenant Transportation Group worth?

Great news for investors – Covenant Transportation Group is still trading at a fairly cheap price. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is $24.43, which is above what the market is valuing the company at the moment. This indicates a potential opportunity to buy low. However, given that Covenant Transportation Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Covenant Transportation Group?

NasdaqGS:CVTI Past and Future Earnings, December 31st 2019
NasdaqGS:CVTI Past and Future Earnings, December 31st 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Covenant Transportation Group, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -2.8%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although CVTI is currently undervalued, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to CVTI, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

ADVERTISEMENT

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CVTI for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you dig deeper into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Covenant Transportation Group. You can find everything you need to know about Covenant Transportation Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Covenant Transportation Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.