Advertisement
UK markets close in 6 hours 33 minutes
  • FTSE 100

    8,391.31
    -25.14 (-0.30%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    20,719.32
    -64.05 (-0.31%)
     
  • AIM

    806.57
    -0.52 (-0.06%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1732
    +0.0026 (+0.23%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2730
    +0.0018 (+0.14%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    55,011.82
    -661.32 (-1.19%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,475.82
    -50.59 (-3.32%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,321.41
    +13.28 (+0.25%)
     
  • DOW

    39,872.99
    +66.22 (+0.17%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    77.69
    -0.97 (-1.23%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,419.40
    -6.50 (-0.27%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,617.10
    -329.83 (-0.85%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    19,195.60
    -25.02 (-0.13%)
     
  • DAX

    18,667.04
    -59.72 (-0.32%)
     
  • CAC 40

    8,090.94
    -50.52 (-0.62%)
     

Investing in V.S. Industry Berhad (KLSE:VS) five years ago would have delivered you a 121% gain

V.S. Industry Berhad (KLSE:VS) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 13% in the last quarter. On the bright side the returns have been quite good over the last half decade. Its return of 96% has certainly bested the market return! While the returns over the last 5 years have been good, we do feel sorry for those shareholders who haven't held shares that long, because the share price is down 42% in the last three years.

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for V.S. Industry Berhad

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

ADVERTISEMENT

V.S. Industry Berhad's earnings per share are down 0.7% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

On the other hand, V.S. Industry Berhad's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 3.3% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
KLSE:VS Earnings and Revenue Growth January 18th 2024

V.S. Industry Berhad is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, V.S. Industry Berhad's TSR for the last 5 years was 121%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 7.1% in the last year, V.S. Industry Berhad shareholders lost 8.9% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 17%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for V.S. Industry Berhad that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course V.S. Industry Berhad may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Malaysian exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.