Advertisement
UK markets closed
  • FTSE 100

    8,213.49
    +41.34 (+0.51%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    20,164.54
    +112.21 (+0.56%)
     
  • AIM

    771.53
    +3.42 (+0.45%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1652
    -0.0031 (-0.26%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2546
    +0.0013 (+0.11%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    50,171.60
    -171.75 (-0.34%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,315.93
    +38.95 (+3.05%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,127.79
    +63.59 (+1.26%)
     
  • DOW

    38,675.68
    +450.02 (+1.18%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    77.99
    -0.96 (-1.22%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,310.10
    +0.50 (+0.02%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,236.07
    -37.98 (-0.10%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    18,475.92
    +268.79 (+1.48%)
     
  • DAX

    18,001.60
    +105.10 (+0.59%)
     
  • CAC 40

    7,957.57
    +42.92 (+0.54%)
     

The J D Wetherspoon (LON:JDW) Share Price Has Gained 82% And Shareholders Are Hoping For More

Want to participate in a short research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and you could win a $250 gift card!

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. Just take a look at J D Wetherspoon plc (LON:JDW), which is up 82%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 16% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 10% in the last year, including dividends.

Check out our latest analysis for J D Wetherspoon

ADVERTISEMENT

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

J D Wetherspoon was able to grow its EPS at 14% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 22% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

LSE:JDW Past and Future Earnings, May 10th 2019
LSE:JDW Past and Future Earnings, May 10th 2019

Dive deeper into J D Wetherspoon's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of J D Wetherspoon's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, J D Wetherspoon's TSR for the last 3 years was 88%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that J D Wetherspoon shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 10% over one year. That's including the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 11% a year, is even better. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.