Advertisement
UK markets closed
  • FTSE 100

    8,213.49
    +41.34 (+0.51%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    20,164.54
    +112.24 (+0.56%)
     
  • AIM

    771.53
    +3.42 (+0.45%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1655
    +0.0003 (+0.02%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2546
    -0.0001 (-0.01%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    51,124.37
    +586.08 (+1.16%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,332.01
    +55.03 (+4.31%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,127.79
    +63.59 (+1.26%)
     
  • DOW

    38,675.68
    +449.98 (+1.18%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    78.39
    +0.28 (+0.36%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,318.50
    +9.90 (+0.43%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,236.07
    -38.03 (-0.10%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    18,466.91
    -9.01 (-0.05%)
     
  • DAX

    18,001.60
    +105.10 (+0.59%)
     
  • CAC 40

    7,957.57
    +42.92 (+0.54%)
     

JPMorgan sees 40 percent chance of no-Brexit vs 20 percent previously

FILE PHOTO: An anti-Brexit demonstrator wears a combination of EU and Union flags outside the Houses of Parliament in London, Britain, November 26, 2018. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo (Reuters)

(Reuters) - There is now a 40 percent probability of Britain staying in the European Union, economists at JP Morgan said on Wednesday, citing a European Court of Justice opinion the previous day that Britain could unilaterally revoke Brexit if it wanted.

"The UK now appears to have the option of revoking unilaterally and taking a period of time of its own choosing to decide what happens next. That time could be used to hold a second referendum on terms entirely decided by the UK," Malcolm Barr wrote in a research note on Wednesday.

He raised the probability of no-Brexit to 40 percent from 20 percent previously, and also raised the likelihood of a no-deal "hard" Brexit to 20 percent from 10 percent He lowered the chance of an orderly Brexit to 50 percent from 60 percent.

(Reporting by Sujata Rao; editing by Jamie McGeever)