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Leeds United’s telling ranking in Championship table based on xG compared to Sunderland, Leicester City & more

Ben McKenna
·3-min read
Expected points using xG: 0. Actual points: 4. Actual position: 20th.
Expected points using xG: 0. Actual points: 4. Actual position: 20th.

Leeds United head to Millwall on Sunday afternoon looking to make it back-to-back away Championship wins after a stuttering start to the second-tier campaign.

The Whites claimed a 4-3 win at Ipswich Town last month before drawing 0-0 at home to Sheffield Wednesday in their final game before the international break.

Daniel Farke’s side have lost just one of their opening five matches but three draws has left them with just six points so far.

Expected points using xG: 2. Actual points: 1. Actual position: 23rd.
Expected points using xG: 2. Actual points: 1. Actual position: 23rd.

Below we look through how the early Championship table would look based on expected goas (xG), which allows a different look at performance. xG evaluates the quality of chances created by teams in each game, and then assigns a value to how many goals they should be expected to score. A chance inside the six-yard box would carry a much higher xG than a shot from outside the penalty area.

There is also a metric for expected goals against (xGA) which determines how many goals a side would normally concede based on the chances created against them. With the help of footballxg.com here’s how the Championship table would look based on expected points using xG and xGA.

Expected points using xG: 2. Actual points: 7. Actual position: 12th.
Expected points using xG: 2. Actual points: 7. Actual position: 12th.
Expected points using xG: 3. Actual points: 7. Actual position: 11th.
Expected points using xG: 3. Actual points: 7. Actual position: 11th.
Expected points using xG: 4. Actual points: 4. Actual position: 21st.
Expected points using xG: 4. Actual points: 4. Actual position: 21st.
Expected points using xG: 4. Actual points: 6. Actual position: 17th.
Expected points using xG: 4. Actual points: 6. Actual position: 17th.
Expected points using xG: 4. Actual points: 7. Actual position: 10th.
Expected points using xG: 4. Actual points: 7. Actual position: 10th.
Expected points using xG: 4. Actual points: 10. Actual position: 6th.
Expected points using xG: 4. Actual points: 10. Actual position: 6th.
Expected points using xG: 5. Actual points: 6. Actual position: 16th.
Expected points using xG: 5. Actual points: 6. Actual position: 16th.
Expected points using xG: 6. Actual points: Actual position: 24th.
Expected points using xG: 6. Actual points: Actual position: 24th.
Expected points using xG: 6. Actual points: 4. Actual position: 19th.
Expected points using xG: 6. Actual points: 4. Actual position: 19th.
Expected points using xG: 6. Actual points: 13. Actual position: 1st.
Expected points using xG: 6. Actual points: 13. Actual position: 1st.
Expected points using xG: 7. Actual points: 2. Actual position: 22nd.
Expected points using xG: 7. Actual points: 2. Actual position: 22nd.
Expected points using xG: 7. Actual points: 7. Actual position: 13th.
Expected points using xG: 7. Actual points: 7. Actual position: 13th.
Expected points using xG: 8. Actual points: 6. Actual position: 14th.
Expected points using xG: 8. Actual points: 6. Actual position: 14th.
Expected points using xG: 9. Actual points: 10. Actual position: 7th.
Expected points using xG: 9. Actual points: 10. Actual position: 7th.
Expected points using xG: 9. Actual points: 12. Actual position: 2nd.
Expected points using xG: 9. Actual points: 12. Actual position: 2nd.
Expected points using xG: 10. Actual points: 6. Actual position: 15th.
Expected points using xG: 10. Actual points: 6. Actual position: 15th.
Expected points using xG: 10. Actual points: 8. Actual position: 8th.
Expected points using xG: 10. Actual points: 8. Actual position: 8th.
Expected points using xG: 11. Actual points: 5. Actual position: 18th.
Expected points using xG: 11. Actual points: 5. Actual position: 18th.
Expected points using xG: 12. Actual points: 10. Actual position: 5th.
Expected points using xG: 12. Actual points: 10. Actual position: 5th.
Expected points using xG: 12. Actual points: 11. Actual position: 4th.
Expected points using xG: 12. Actual points: 11. Actual position: 4th.
Expected points using xG: 13. Actual points: 7. Actual position: 9th.
Expected points using xG: 13. Actual points: 7. Actual position: 9th.
Expected points using xG: 13. Actual points: 12. Actual position: 3rd.
Expected points using xG: 13. Actual points: 12. Actual position: 3rd.
SALFORD, ENGLAND - AUGUST 29: Daniel Farke, Manager of Leeds United, ahead of during the Carabao Cup Second Round match between Salford City and Leeds United at Peninsula Stadium on August 29, 2023 in Salford, England. (Photo by Jess Hornby/Getty Images)
SALFORD, ENGLAND - AUGUST 29: Daniel Farke, Manager of Leeds United, ahead of during the Carabao Cup Second Round match between Salford City and Leeds United at Peninsula Stadium on August 29, 2023 in Salford, England. (Photo by Jess Hornby/Getty Images)