Advertisement
UK markets closed
  • FTSE 100

    7,895.85
    +18.80 (+0.24%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    19,391.30
    -59.37 (-0.31%)
     
  • AIM

    745.67
    +0.38 (+0.05%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1607
    -0.0076 (-0.65%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2370
    -0.0068 (-0.55%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    51,663.45
    +1,350.34 (+2.68%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,371.97
    +59.34 (+4.52%)
     
  • S&P 500

    4,967.23
    -43.89 (-0.88%)
     
  • DOW

    37,986.40
    +211.02 (+0.56%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    83.24
    +0.51 (+0.62%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,406.70
    +8.70 (+0.36%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,068.35
    -1,011.35 (-2.66%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    16,224.14
    -161.73 (-0.99%)
     
  • DAX

    17,737.36
    -100.04 (-0.56%)
     
  • CAC 40

    8,022.41
    -0.85 (-0.01%)
     

LIVE MARKETS-Buying some dips: 5 reasons why

* STOXX 600 and FTSE rise over 1%

* Exor entered a MoU to sell PartnerRe to Covea Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters. You can share your thoughts with Thyagaraju Adinarayan (thyagaraju.adinarayan@tr.com), Joice Alves (joice.alves@tr.com), Julien Ponthus (julien.ponthus@tr.com) in London.

BUYING SOME DIPS: 5 REASONS WHY (1506 GMT)

"With bond yields at even more depressed levels now, positioning no longer complacent, valuations close to historical averages, and aggressive stimulus, the lack of alternatives may well push investors to buy this dip, once again", Barclays' European equity strategy team wrote this morning, warning that volatility should remain high.

ADVERTISEMENT

While they advocate for patience and "a more balanced and diversified portfolio allocation", they've come up with 20 stocks which they deem are opportunities for medium-term investors.

Here's their list:

BPOST

SBM Offshore Energy

Anglo American

Faurecia

Vodafone

Lloyds

Koninklijke Philips

Airbus

Schneider Electric

Delivery Hero

Tesco

ASML

Roche

RELX

Grifols

Serco

Segro

Reckitt Benckiser

Zurich Insurance Group

Avast

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

ITALY LIKELY TO SHUT SCHOOLS, MARKETS CUT GAINS (1413 GMT)

To contain the coronavirus outbreak, Italy is likely to shut schools, cinemas and theatres and that's made investors who are buying the dip to wonder if the Fed's bazooka or the U.S. election boost could be enough to solve the health crisis.

The news report on Italy's closures cut some gains in European stocks. Though a lockdown isn't great, football matches could keep them entertained as Italy is planning to let play all Serie A games behind closed doors.

It is not all about the hit on demand but there is also concerns on the supply chain depending on the extent of the disruption caused by the coronavirus across the world, says Rupert Thompson, Chief Investment Officer at Kingswood.

(Joice Alves)

*****

CAN CORONAVIRUS SHAKE UP AIRLINES OWNERSHIP RULES? (1200 GMT)

Aviation has stringent ownership and control (O&C) rules that restrict the percentage that a foreign investor can have in airlines.

Now as the sector struggles with many companies cancelling flights, UBS says it sees global industry bodies such as the ICAO and IATA, regional regulators and airlines pushing for liberalising O&C, which could eventually lead to a consolidation of the sector.

"Material consolidation leads to increased global traffic growth, better route scheduling, increased investment, an improved product and fewer carbon emissions," writes UBS but there are also downside to it, including "less competition on certain routes, inefficient players exiting the market which in short term leads to job losses," UBS adds.

Below is UBS's four possible scenarios for the industry:

Here are the potential winners and losers if the industry eases global airlines ownership rules:

(Joice Alves)

*****

STOCK PICKING: "DURING PERIODS OF UNCERTAINTY, CASH IS KING" (1019 GMT)

This quote pretty much sums up a Jefferies' note which looks into which stocks to buy or to avoid in the face of the coronavirus crisis. Cash and cash flows are key metrics in this stock picking exercise with a focus to avoid companies which could experience a "cash crunch should supply chains and demand fail to normalise quickly".

Another advice is to avoid large working capital, fast growing cash burners and on the contrary to focus on "cash proxies" with high cash-to-market cap ratios and positive FCF conversion.

AS they stress, buying the dip in times like this is a dangerous exercise but in order to limit the risk, they advise going for quality companies which have already went through a big correction.

Key also is to target those which have a history of rebounding on these low levels and have attractive earnings growth and ROEs.

Here's their pick of European stocks with high cash to market capitalisation:

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: MARKET ODDITIES (0837 GMT)

European futures were clearly pointing to a positive open this morning but that didn't prevent bourses to open moderately in the red despite Wall Street losing 3% last night.

Interestingly, European stock futures carried on trading in the black while Paris, Frankfurt, Milan or London stock indices were deeper into negative territory.

It later made sense with European benchmarks slowly but firmly rising back to positive territory. At 0840, the STOXX 600 was up 0.7%.

Meanwhile, notably U.S. futures were very comfortably trading in the black, but that clearly can be attributed to Joe Biden's surge during Super Tuesday.

Anyhow, there's some decent market price action among individual stocks, mainly for Intu which collapsed wiping over a third of its market value in just a few minutes after open as it failed to raise capital.

That clearly weighed on peer Hammerson which was one of the top losers on the STOXX 600 falling 3.5%.

Travel and Leisure stocks are still feeling the heat from the virus with Wizz Air losing some ground after cutting some flights and further reducing capacity. The sector is down 1% with BA owner ICAG -3.4%.

Among other top movers is Exor, up 3.5% after its MoU to sell PartnerRe to France's Covea for $9 billion in cash and Dialog Semi which said it expects its chip supply chain to return to normal in Q2 2020.

Among other winners, miners and raw material stocks are up on rising oil prices following OPEC plans to cut output. The index is the top gainer, up 1.6%.

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

WILL BOE FIRE ITS BAZOOKA? (0821 GMT)

Powell's emergency rate cut has raised expectations that global central banks would follow suit, and the Bank of England is definitely one to watch out for.

Money markets are now fully pricing in a BoE rate cut of 25 bps on March 26 when it next meets, a jump from an 80% probability before the Fed cut. It will also be Andrew Bailey's first meeting.

But Citi believes there is a chance BoE would wait a little longer and be less aggressive:

* "First, the BoE may want to keep some powder dry as Brexit puts new cliff edge risks on the horizon.

* Second, the UK government has the opportunity to react to the Covid-19 crisis with fiscal measures in the Budget next week 11 March.

* Third, the Bank is in the process of handing over leadership from Carney to Andrew Bailey in the coming weeks.

* Fourth, the BoE did not cut rate between meetings even during the 2008 crisis".

(Thyagaraju Adinarayan)

*****

ON THE RADAR: WIZZ, INTU AND GRIM TRADING UPDATES (0753 GMT)

We’re off peak earnings for Q4 but among the trading updates published today is Dialog Semi which expects its chip supply chain to return to normal in Q2 2020.

In the M&A beat: Investment group Exor announced it entered a MoU to sell its 100% stake in reinsurer PartnerRe to France's Covea for $9 billion in cash.

Possible boost for Roche as China will use an arthritis drug to treat some coronavirus patients in severe conditions and it wins a fast-track review status in the US for a new diagnostic approach for liver cancer.

Another roller coaster day ahead for Intu which failed to raise capital.

Quite a grim outlook from German chemicals group Evonik Industries which sees specialty chemicals sales expected grow slowly due to a soft global economy.

Same for Engineering group Andritz which expects a slight increase in sales and a flat EBITA this year.

Wizz Air is seen losing some ground after cutting some flights and further reducing capacity.

Mixed pre markets for Legal and General – after posting a 12% rise in 2019 operating profit.

Struggling Pandora will cut 180 staff and eliminate an organizational layer in an effort to move closer to consumers.

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

MORNING CALL: WHO KNOWS? (0630 GMT)

European futures are currently rising by about 0.5% but there's absolutely no visibility on today's session. Yesterday's Fed cut, which was meant to bolster sentiment, spooked the market more than anything else and with the US 10 year trading below 1%, we're in unchartered territory.

There's no clear trend either from Asian bourses after Wall Street's fall overnight.

On the bright side, U.S. futures are up but that's maybe only due to Joe Biden's new found momentum against Bernie Sanders after winning at least eight large states on Super Tuesday.

"Stock market futures getting a boost from this - well they needed the help", wrote Chris Bailey, European Strategist at Raymond James.

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

(Reporting by Danilo Masoni, Joice Alves, Julien Ponthus and Thyagaraju Adinarayan)