LIVE MARKETS-Saving the UK high street, one vegan sausage roll at a time
* European shares open lower
* ECB could unveil plans for cheap bank loans
* Earnings still in focus
* In Asia, shares sluggish
March 7 - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to
you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Danilo Masoni. Reach him on Messenger to
share your thoughts on market moves: danilo.masoni.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net
SAVING THE UK HIGH STREET, ONE VEGAN SAUSAGE ROLL AT A TIME (1011 GMT)
There's a real media frenzy out there on how the launch of the now infamous vegan sausage
roll boosted the sales of Greggs and help propel its shares to new record highs.
The hype around the quorn-based delicacy is now seen as a marketing masterpiece which is
fast rebranding Greggs, until very recently seen as a no-frills, resolutely un-hipster
food-to-go chain focusing on hearty and filling, non-dietary snacks.
But beyond the praises received in the likes of PR Week (here's a link: https://bit.ly/2RuWUGZ)
for its "masterclass in public relations", the vegan sausage roll may actually offer a glimmer
of hope for the UK high street.
"Greggs is one of those businesses which has shrugged off the doom and gloom currently
engulfing the UK high street," writes Laith Khalaf, senior analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.
"We don’t know how many of the vegan rolls the baker is actually selling, but the publicity
is getting customers through the door one way or the other," he adds, noting that "like WHSmith,
Greggs has been quite canny about where its stores are located, shifting outlets away from
traditional shopping centres towards travel hubs and workplace locations."
Looking at the share price of Greggs, one has to admit that it looks more like a crypto or a
Canadian cannabis stock than a share in UK high street.
(Julien Ponthus and Helen Reid)
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ECB STIMULUS SPECULATION FAILS TO LIFT STOCKS (0854 GMT)
European indexes have opened in the red with losses limited to about 0.5 percent, and it
seems that speculation of a new round of TLTRO isn't the doing the magic many expected.
Banking stocks in that respect aren't doing as good as expected and are actually trading in
the red, down 0.4 percent, but the fate of the session still seems linked to the ECB meeting
later today.
Basic materials stocks were the biggest losers, down about 2 percent with coppers prices
dragging the sector.
In terms of individual stocks, German media group Axel Springer made a spectacular fall,
down close to 7 percent.
(Julien Ponthus)
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WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW BEFORE THE OPEN (0741 GMT)
European shares are expected to open lower today ahead of a much anticipated European
Central Bank meeting that is expected to slash growth forecasts and hint at a new round of
ultra-cheap loans for euro zone banks. Futures on main country benchmarks point to losses of
0.3-0.5 percent as a rebound in the region’s stock market stalls near 5-month highs.
Bank stocks have already risen sharply in anticipation of the new loans and investors expect
some profit taking could eventually kick in before the scheme's details are hammered out.
Italian banks and Spanish ones are the most sensitive to the measure, having taken the bulk
of the previous round of cheap funding from the ECB.
Still in banks, reports said Italy's biggest retail bank Intesa Sanpaolo is in talks to sell
about 10 billion euros in unlikely-to-pay property loans, signalling more progress in Italian
banks' effort to clean up their books.
Elsewhere, a number of earning updates especially in Germany could liven up the session.
There is good news for fashion investors after German house Hugo Boss said it expected its
operating profit to rise faster than sales in 2019, sending its shares up more than 2 percent in
pre-market trade.
Deutsche Post is also expected to gain after group said a restructuring programme in its
German post-and-parcel division will help boost profit this year, while publisher Axel Springer
and insurer Hannover RE are both seen falling more than 2 percent following their updates.
And here are some more market-moving headlines from the UK and, as you can see, there are
lots of earnings for investors to digest:
Melrose full-year adjusted pretax profit nearly triples
National Grid to buy U.S-based wind and solar energy developer
Inmarsat's fourth quarter earnings up 15 pct
UK real estate agent Countrywide sees more headwinds in 2019
UK's Greggs 2018 profit up 10 pct, "very strong" start to 2019
Aviva FY operating profit up 2 pct after life insurance boost
Cairn Homes FY Rev More Than Doubles, To Pay Dividend
Insurer Admiral warns on economic disruption from a "hard Brexit"
Schroders FY pretax profit down 15 pct on higher costs, fall in assets
(Danilo Masoni)
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FORGET STOCKS FUTURES, CHECK OUT ITALIAN YIELDS! (0728 GMT)
The most important indicator for today's incoming session might not be equity futures -
which are down between 0.3 pct and 0.5 pct - but rather Italian bond yield which are retreating
to seven-month lows for the 2-year.
What does that tell us about the ECB meeting? Mhhh?
Well TLTRO speculation is intensifying. As far as banking stocks are concerned, while an
announcement or even a hint of a new round of ECB cheap loans could help prop up euro zone
lenders, ruling out a new batch of refinancing could on the opposite have a dire impact.
Here's the Italian 2-year:
(Julien Ponthus and Abhinav Ramnarayan)
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ON OUR RADAR: EYES ON INTESA, RESULTS FROM MERCK, D.POST, VONOVIA (0638 GMT)
Turning to the corporate front, the Italian banking sector could be in focus this morning
after a source said the country's biggest retail bank Intesa Sanpaolo is in talks to
sell 10 billion euro in impaired loans, while Merck, Deutsche Post, Vonovia
and LafargeHolcim are also on the watch list after their earning updates.
Deutsche Telekom is another onte to watch after Bloomberg reported that U.S.
state antitrust enforcers are expressing deep concerns that T-Mobile US' proposed
takeover of Sprint could raise prices for consumers, signalling they might seek to thwart
the deal.
Here's your early morning headlines roundup:
Italy's Intesa in talks to sell 10 bln euros in impaired loans - source
Merck KGaA says currency headwinds quell drug gains in Q4
Deutsche Post sees profit hike in 2019, no sign of slowdown
Acquisitions help Vonovia's core profit rise 16 pct in 2018
LafargeHolcim expects sales growth of 3 to 5 percent in 2019
GE explores stake sale in Enel renewables joint venture -sources
Rusal posts $17 mln Q4 net loss, sees demand recovery
(Danilo Masoni)
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EUROPE SET FOR A WEAKER OPEN AHEAD OF ECB MEETING (0620 GMT)
European shares are expected to open lower today ahead of a much-anticipated European
Central Bank meeting that could announce plans for a new round of ultra-cheap bank loans, as the
outlook for the euro zone economy worsens.
Financial spreadbetters at IG expect Frankfurt's DAX to open 29 points lower at 11,558,
Paris' CAC to open 10 points lower at 5,279 and London's FTSE to open 34 points lower at 7,162.
In the previous session the STOXX 600 regional benchmark hit fresh five month highs before
pulling back and end just below parity.
Over in Asia, shares eased with caution prevailing as investors awaited some kind of
resolution to Sino-U.S. trade negotiations.
(Danilo Masoni)
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