LIVE MARKETS-Shooting for the moon
* European shares open sharply higher
* China March factory activity unexpectedly grows
* UK parliament votes on Brexit options at 1900 GMT
* EasyJet launches Brexit warning, DSV to buy Panalpina
April 1 - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to
you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Danilo Masoni. Reach him on Messenger to
share your thoughts on market moves: danilo.masoni.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net
SHOOTING FOR THE MOON (1100 GMT)
A new space race is heating up following U.S. vice president Mike Pence's call to NASA last
week to put astronauts on the moon again within five years.
That's some four years earlier than NASA's own target.
The move was partly inspired by China's robotic lunar landing mission earlier this year
while Israeli nonprofit SpaceIL also has its sights set on a robotic landing in April.
Whoever ends up ahead, the modern-day space race is a big opportunity for investors with a
2024 timeline for a manned lunar mission requiring significant government spending.
Not surprisingly, the bank says it prefers aerospace, satellite and communications segments,
while new space startups may offer investment opportunities in private markets.
(In November, NASA named nine U.S. companies, including Lockheed Martin Corp, that
would compete for funding under the space agency's renewed private-public partnership for
developing technology to explore the lunar surface.)
But it's the value the bank puts on the space economy that's eye-catching.
UBS reckons it could grow to almost $1 trillion in the next couple of decades from $340
billion currently.
To put that into context, that's the same as the GDP of the Netherlands or Turkey.
In a previous note on the potential economy of space travel and tourism, UBS estimated that
by 2029 space tourism could be a market worth $3 billion per year and growing at double digits.
Below is their timeline on how this could pan out:
(Josephine Mason)
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WANNA PLAY NEGATIVE BOND YIELDS? OPT FOR HIGH-DIV (0947 GMT)
With 10-year Bund yields back in the red following the recent policy shifts by central
banks, quality and high-div stocks are back on the radar screens with investors pondering which
one is better placed to benefit from the latest shift in market conditions.
Morgan Stanley would put their money on high-div.
"We prefer to play low bond yields through High Dividend Yield stocks rather than Quality as
valuations are much less demanding," analysts at the US bank say in a note.
"Quality has been the biggest beneficiary of low bond yields in this cycle but going forward
we prefer the risk-reward of High Dividend Yield stocks," they add.
They also highlight that buying high dividend stocks is not necessarily a defensive, low
beta trade.
"Buying dividend stocks isn't an entirely defensive strategy as sectors that currently have
the highest dividend yield in the market are a mix of traditional defensive (Utilities,
Telecoms) and high beta/cyclical sectors (Banks, Energy, Autos)," they note.
That being said, they update their high & secure dividend yields basked.
Within this basket of 41 stocks, 18 are rated overweight: DNB, KBC, Lloyds
, Siemens, Rexel, BAE Systems, Saint-Gobain,
Volkerwessels, Greene King, BP, Total, AXA, Direct
Line, Covestro, Merlin Properties, Evry, Orange
and Iberdrola.
To conclude here's an MS chart showing that the UK and Europe offer the highest 12-month
forward dividend yield in the DM world after Australia.
(Danilo Masoni)
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CHINA DATA POWERS UP EUROPE (0801 GMT)
Data showing that factory activity in China unexpectedly grew for the first time in four
months in March has ignited a rally in European shares at the open, lifting the STOXX 600 up 0.9
percent in a broad-based bounce led by cyclical stocks.
"Some thankfully better than forecast data from China set the European markets up for a
decent open as April got underway," says Connor Campbell, analyst at Spreadex.com.
The export-oriented auto sector is up an outstanding 2.9 percent, with activity
peppered up by ongoing talk about possible deal-making in the industry, while among other
cyclicals, basic resources stocks are up 2.4 percent and banks up 1.1 percent.
Defensive sectors are underperforming but only utilities are trading in the red,
down 0.1 percent, while a 7 percent fall in easyJet (after the airline warned that
demand and pricing were suffering from Brexit jitters) kept its sectoral index around
parity.
All country indices are trading in positive territory in early deals.
(Danilo Masoni)
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WHAT'S ON OUR RADAR BEFORE THE OPEN (0652 GMT)
European shares are set to rise sharply on the first trading day of the second quarter with
stock index futures rising 0.8 percent following unexpected growth in Chinese factory activity
in March. FTSE futures are up 0.2 percent ahead today's parliament votes on different Brexit
options.
On the corporate front, Panalpina is expected to rise as much as 15 percent at the open
after Denmark's DSV agreed to buy the Swiss freight forwarder in a share swap valued at 4.6
billion Swiss francs.
Still in dealmaking, Fiat Chrysler could rise further (up 1-2 percent premarket) after
Bloomberg reported that PSA Group and the Italian American carmaker are exploring a partnership
to share investments to build cars in Europe, while oil services firm Saipem could also get a
lift from media speculation it could exit its drilling business.
In earnings, traders said a better-than-expected update from Apple supplier Foxconn could
help lift shares of European suppliers of the U.S. tech giant, such as AMS and Dialog Semi or
STMicro, while Easyjet could fall 3-5 percent at the open after giving a cautious outlook for
the second half of the year. A sequential rise in Macau gambling revenue could
support shares in Asia-exposed luxury stocks.
Here are some UK headlines (check out the previous post for other headlines):
EasyJet warns of Brexit hit to European demand
Network International announces pricing for up to $3bln listing
Cabot Energy sees higher FY revenue
Joules Group ceo will retire before end of FY 2020
Britain's Serco extends contract with Dubai Metro for up to $185 mln
Thames Water Submits Revised Business Plan For 2020-2025
Astrazeneca: Selumetinib gets breakthrough therapy designation
Ferrexpo Updates On Review Of Charity Donations, Delays Results Again
-MJ Gleeson Says Appointed Lazard To Explore Options For Strategic Land Business
Failed LK Bennett chain circled by Ashley, Dune and Feng https://on.ft.com/2HTgx7k
Novartis pays $310 mln upfront for inflammation specialist IFM
(Danilo Masoni)
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FUTURES RALLY, EYES ON PANALPINA-DSV (0614 GMT)
European stock futures have opened sharply, up 0.4-0.9 percent, confirming earlier
indications from spreadbetters for a strong start of the second quarter following an unexpected
growth in Chinese factory activity in March.
On the corporate front, Panalpina is on the watchlist after Denmark's DSV
agreed to buy the Swiss freight forwarder in a share swap valued at 4.6 billion Swiss francs.
Meanwile talk about a possible dealmaking in the auto sector contines with Bloomberg
reporting at the weekend that PSA Group and Fiat Chrysler are exploring a
partnership to share investments to build cars in Europe.
Here's your early morning headlines roundup:
Denmark's DSV to buy logistics company Panalpina in $4.6 billion deal
PSA Group and Fiat Chrysler explore European venture - Bloomberg
Rio Tinto cuts 2019 iron ore shipment outlook after cyclone
Wirecard says compliance manager's departure not connected to investigation
ECB extends mandate for Italian bank Carige's administrators to Sept. 30
Daimler asks EU antitrust regulators to probe Nokia patents
(Danilo Masoni)
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EUROPE SEEN STARTING Q2 ON THE UP ON STRONG CHINA DATA (0550 GMT)
European shares are expected to start the first session of the second quarter on the up
after China's official purchasing managers' index released on Sunday showed factory activity
unexpectedly grew for the first time in four months in March.
Financial spreadbetters expect London's FTSE to open 32 points higher at 7,311,
Frankfurt's DAX to open 98 points higher at 11,624 and Paris' CAC to open 42
points lower at 5,393, a trader said.
Over in Asia, stocks rallied as the positive Chinese factory gauges and signs of progress in
Sino-U.S. trade talks boosted sentiment, although another defeat for British Prime Minister
Theresa May's Brexit deal added to sterling's woes.
The British Parliament will vote again on different Brexit options later today and then May
could try one last roll of the dice by bringing her deal back to a vote in parliament as soon as
tomorrow. Parliament is due to vote at around 1900 GMT.
(Danilo Masoni)
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