LIVE MARKETS-Where does Growth fit in a "growing but slowing" world?
* European shares turn lower after positive open
* Amer Sports (LSE: 0K7Y.L - news) , Ubisoft top the STOXX 600
* Ashtead and Partners Group rise after results
* Wall Street futures slide
* Asian shares struggle on trade war fears
Sept 11 (Reuters) - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets
brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Danilo Masoni. Reach him on
Messenger to share your thoughts on market moves: danilo.masoni.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net
WHERE DOES GROWTH FIT IN A "GROWING BUT SLOWING" WORLD? (1157 GMT)
One key question on investors' minds recently has been whether Growth stocks will continue
to be as good a bet in a slowing economic expansion.
Bernstein's quantitative analysts reckon Growth will continue to be the dominant factor in
an environment they characterise as "growing but slowing", and remain overweight.
But they're seeking to switch towards a more defensive measure of growth, particularly in
Europe where the "move from expansion to slowdown" makes it a safer bet. As you can see below,
Growth in Europe has significantly outperformed Value particularly since the U.S.-China trade
war started in earnest.
Tackling the perennial question of how to define growth, Bernstein's Inigo Fraser-Jenkins
and team argue it should be measured as a combination of expected growth, growth potential, and
historic growth - rather than be measured by valuation (assuming that expensive companies are
growth companies).
Among Growth companies rated Outperform by Bernstein are Europe's Ahold Delhaize,
Airbus, and Safran (LSE: 0IU8.L - news) , but Bernstein analysts note an "utter dominance" of U.S.
names in the list - which also includes retailers (surprisingly), defence, airlines, and
non-bank financials.
(Helen Reid)
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LESSONS FROM THE FINANCIAL CRISIS (1132 GMT)
Courtesy of Berenberg's chief economist, here are ten takeaways from the financial crisis
which rocked the world, on the tenth anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers:
1. Central banks must use their tools to prevent credit and leverage excesses.
2. To prevent contagion, troubled banks must be wound down in an orderly fashion.
3. In case of a panic, central banks must intervene fast and decisively to stop the rot.
4. Only central banks can reliably stop a panic with a credible “whatever it takes”.
5. Ditch the dogma. Unconventional times can require unconventional policies.
6. After a financial crisis, countries need to restore the health of their banks fast.
7. Regulators must see to it that financial institutions have adequate shock absorbers.
8. Financial crises unleash deflationary forces. Monetary policy must act accordingly.
9. Pro-growth reforms matter more than austerity for overindebted countries.
10. Do not waste a crisis. If it happens, use it for fundamental pro-growth reforms.
Below you can see the significant, and long-lasting, effects of the crisis on GDP growth
across the globe.
But Berenberg's Holger Schmieding strikes an optimistic note, saying "Western economies have
strengthened their defences against a replay of the Lehman crisis". He foresees the next
recession happening around 2021.
For more on the crisis anniversary, every day this week Reuters will provide an expert guide
to what has changed and what has not since the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008. For a
graphic on the financial crisis and its aftermath, click on https://tmsnrt.rs/2wRXjI1
(Helen Reid)
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U.S. STILL IN THE LEAD ACROSS ASSETS AS DIVERGENCE GROWS (1119 GMT)
The U.S. remains flavour of the month with the S&P 500 now in one of its longest periods of
outperformance relative to the rest of the world, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS-PB - news) analysts note.
Not only this, but the U.S. is ahead of the pack on multiple other metrics too. The gap (Frankfurt: 863533 - news)
between U.S. PMIs and the rest of the world is bigger than ever, U.S. bond yields have decoupled
from the rest, and U.S. credit spreads have remained flat while in Europe they have widened.
One trader points out nearly all internationally focused ETFs (Shenzhen: 395013.SZ - news) are down year-to-date, with
only two - both focused on the U.S. - up.
But while there's been a clear divergence in equities and fixed income, GS notes
volatilities have been more synchronised - and investors can take advantage of this development
with potential for European volatility to rise.
"Long VSTOXX versus short VIX positions expiring in December or January look attractive
given the spread is close to zero, particularly with ongoing Italian political risk and the
Brexit deadline approaching," analysts at the U.S. bank recommend.
(Helen Reid)
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EUROPEAN SHARES FALL A LEG LOWER ON GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS (1002 GMT)
Sentiment has deteriorated here in Europe and early gains have progressively evaporated,
leaving the STOXX 600 firmly in the red, down 0.5 percent.
All sectoral indexes but one (oil) are posting losses and while it looks like there's no
clear trigger, traders are pointing to geopolitical jitters.
"Recent pullback could be attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions," says Stephane
Ekolo, strategist at Tradition Securities says. He mentions the following headlines:
* China to ask WTO for authorization to impose trade sanctions on US, citing US
non-compliance in
a 2017 ruling in a trade dispute over U.S. dumping duties begun by China in 2013.
* Iran nuclear chief tells the Associated Press that the program will be in a "stronger
position
than ever" if the atomic deal dies. (https://nyti.ms/2N7NY9a)
* US officials see Russia as main suspect in Cuba attack (https://nbcnews.to/2O8pB7N)
China's move to impose sanctions on the U.S. through the WTO relates to failed compliance on
ruling from last year on a dumping dispute which started in 2013, rather than being a ramp-up in
the latest trade tensions. But the market's reaction reflects investors' skittishness about any
trade- and geopolitics-related news.
Another trader says "We were weak before the headline, that's the latest leg lower."
Trade-sensitive autos and basic resources sectors are the worst-performing,
down 0.8 to 1 percent.
(Danilo Masoni and Helen Reid)
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OPENING SNAPSHOT: EUROPEAN SHARES INCH UP, AMER SPORTS SURGES (0720 GMT)
European shares are inching up in early trading, with some big moves taking centre stage.
Finnish newspaper Kauppalehti cites Bloomberg as saying Chinese firm Anta Sports Products is
considering buying Amer Sports, and the Finnish company's shares are up 11.8 percent
at the top .
Ubisoft shares are up 5.4 percent with traders citing a JP Morgan note as the
driver.
Results are also driving stocks up.
Ashtead is rising more than 4 percent after the industrial equipment rental firm
said it sees full-year earnings ahead of expectations after a strong Q1.
Partners Group meanwhile is up 4.5 percent and set for its best day in two years after
reporting first-half results with consensus-beating profit.
(Helen Reid)
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WHAT WE'RE WATCHING BEFORE THE OPEN: AIRBUS, CHIPMAKERS, UNICREDIT (EUREX: DE000A163206.EX - news) (0650 GMT)
European shares' rebound from the five-month lows hit last week is set to continue on
Tuesday as easing fears over the Italian budget help keep at bay continued uncertainty over the
trade dispute between the US and China. A pause in a sell-off in Chinese stocks could also help.
European stock futures are trading up as much as 0.3 percent, although FTSE futures were lagging
as the pound strengthened on expectations over a Brexit deal.
Here's your snapshot:
On the corporate front, Airbus could benefit after rival Boeing (NYSE: BA - news) said Chinese
airlines will buy 7,690 new planes worth $1.2 trillion over the next two decades, raising by
more than 6 percent its previous forecast.
In tech, chipmakers such as Infineon (Xetra: 623100 - news) and STMicro could be in the
spotlight on fresh sector dealmaking after Japan's Renesas Electronics agreed to buy Integrated
Device Technology in a $6.7 billion deal that deepens its push into semiconductors for
self-driving cars.
Also keeping an eye on shares in UniCredit after fresh speculation in Italian
paper MF about possible merger options. MF named BBVA (LSE: 931474.L - news) and ABN Amro .
And here are a couple more headlines on top of those flagged in the previous post:
Unilever (NYSE: UL - news) simplification to be through UK scheme of arrangement
Dutch merger; Pizza firm DP Eurasia's H1 profit growth slows to 8 percent
Vectura reviewing drug stockpiles as no-deal Brexit looms
Ashtead says to beat full-year guidance after strong Q1
JD Sports' half-year profit jumps 19 pct
(Danilo Masoni)
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EARLY MORNING HEADLINES ROUNDUP (0551 GMT)
Here are the main corporate headlines that could have an impact on stocks this morning:
U.S. appeals court invalidates Acorda patents on MS drug
Hedge fund Tiger Global ups stake in Fiat Chrysler to $1 bln -filing
Boeing ups forecast Chinese new plane purchases over 20 years by 6.2 pct
ArcelorMittal (LSE: 0NSF.L - news) ups bid for Essar Steel
Ryanair's German pilots to strike on Wednesday
Five telecom groups make initial bids in Italy's 5G auction, Iliad (LSE: 0MGY.L - news) wins frequency
Russia's Aeroflot orders 100 Sukhoi Superjets
Aryzta (IOB: 0MFY.IL - news) gives details of plan to raise €800 million euros to boost finances
Novartis (IOB: 0QLR.IL - news) 's Alcon unit to have headquarters in Geneva after spin-off
EU lawmakers back 45 pct CO2 cut for cars, vans by 2030
Danske Bank (LSE: 0NVC.L - news) to publish results of Estonia money laundering case on Sept 19
(Danilo Masoni)
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MORNING CALL: EUROPEAN SHARES SEEN HIGHER (0523 GMT)
European shares are expected to extend gains seen yesterday when easing concerns over the
Italian budget helped offset continued uncertainty over the trade dispute between Washington and
Beijing that sent the STOXX to five-month lows in the previous week.
Financial spreadbetters expect London's FTSE to open 11 points higher at 7,290, Frankfurt's
DAX to open 30 points higher at 12,017 and Paris' CAC to open 17 points higher at 5,287.
Over in Asia, shares struggled to avoid a ninth straight session of losses, writes Wayne
Cole from Sydney, as the spectre of a Sino (Dusseldorf: 1205802.DU - news) -U.S. trade war haunted investors, while the pound
perched near a five-week top on hints a Brexit deal might be nearer.
(Danilo Masoni)
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