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What Makes PageGroup plc (LON:PAGE) A Great Dividend Stock?

Dividend paying stocks like PageGroup plc (LON:PAGE) tend to be popular with investors, and for good reason - some research suggests a significant amount of all stock market returns come from reinvested dividends. Yet sometimes, investors buy a stock for its dividend and lose money because the share price falls by more than they earned in dividend payments.

With PageGroup yielding 5.9% and having paid a dividend for over 10 years, many investors likely find the company quite interesting. It would not be a surprise to discover that many investors buy it for the dividends. Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding PageGroup for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

LSE:PAGE Historical Dividend Yield, September 25th 2019
LSE:PAGE Historical Dividend Yield, September 25th 2019

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. PageGroup paid out 39% of its profit as dividends, over the trailing twelve month period. This is a middling range that strikes a nice balance between paying dividends to shareholders, and retaining enough earnings to invest in future growth. Besides, if reinvestment opportunities dry up, the company has room to increase the dividend.

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In addition to comparing dividends against profits, we should inspect whether the company generated enough cash to pay its dividend. PageGroup paid out 50% of its cash flow as dividends last year, which is within a reasonable range for the average corporation. It's positive to see that PageGroup's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note PageGroup's strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.

We update our data on PageGroup every 24 hours, so you can always get our latest analysis of its financial health, here.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. PageGroup has been paying dividends for a long time, but for the purpose of this analysis, we only examine the past 10 years of payments. During this period the dividend has been stable, which could imply the business could have relatively consistent earnings power. During the past ten-year period, the first annual payment was UK£0.08 in 2009, compared to UK£0.26 last year. Dividends per share have grown at approximately 13% per year over this time.

It's rare to find a company that has grown its dividends rapidly over ten years and not had any notable cuts, but PageGroup has done it, which we really like.

Dividend Growth Potential

Dividend payments have been consistent over the past few years, but we should always check if earnings per share (EPS) are growing, as this will help maintain the purchasing power of the dividend. It's good to see PageGroup has been growing its earnings per share at 20% a year over the past five years. Earnings per share have been growing at a good rate, and the company is paying less than half its earnings as dividends. We generally think this is an attractive combination, as it permits further reinvestment in the business.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that PageGroup's dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. PageGroup's dividend payout ratios are within normal bounds, although we note its cash flow is not as strong as the income statement would suggest. We like that it has been delivering solid improvement in its earnings per share, and relatively consistent dividend payments. PageGroup performs highly under this analysis, although it falls slightly short of our exacting standards. At the right valuation, it could be a solid dividend prospect.

Earnings growth generally bodes well for the future value of company dividend payments. See if the 10 PageGroup analysts we track are forecasting continued growth with our free report on analyst estimates for the company.

If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.