Malaysia's exports fall in January as sales to China slump
* January exports down 0.6 pct y/y vs Reuters poll f'cast 3.0 pct rise
* January imports down 5.3 pct y/y vs f'cast 2.0 pct rise
* Trade surplus 9.01 bln rgt vs f'cast 6.8 bln rgt
* Exports to China down 22.7 pct y/y; to EU up 3.7 pct y/y; to U.S up 18.1
pct
(Releads, and adds analysts comments)
KUALA LUMPUR, March 6 (Reuters) - Malaysia's exports slid 0.6 percent in
January from a year earlier, wrongfooting expectations for a rise, due mainly to
a 22.7 percent fall in sales to China.
Exports to the European Union, the United States and India increased, as
those economies improved, and overseas sales of electrical and electronic
products rose, offsetting lower exports of commodities.
Imports also came in well below forecasts with a fall of 5.3 percent, partly
due to reduced imports of refined petroleum products.
A Reuters poll had forecast a 3.0 percent rise in exports, and a 2.0 percent
rise in imports.
The faster fall in imports resulted in the trade surplus widening to 9.01
billion ringgit ($2.47 billion) in January from 6.4 billion ringgit in the same
month a year ago.
The weaker export figure partly reflected lower commodity prices, said
Michael Wan of Credit Suisse.
Economists had expected imports to grow at a slower pace due to a weaker
ringgit. The weaker currency helped boost exports in ringgit terms. The ringgit
fell more than 4 percent year-to-date, making it the second worst performing
currency in emerging Asia.
"Moving forwards, export growth could go down further," said Wan, adding
that trade balance is likely to "grind downwards" in coming months.
Export demand from China suffered as factory output declined during January
in the world's second largest economy.
Edward Lee, economist at Standard Chartered in Singapore, expected trade
with China, Malaysia's biggest trading partner, to improve in the second half of
the year as the Chinese economy stabilises.
"We are expecting some sort of a tale of two halves but it's not so
distinct," said Lee.
For a graphic on Malaysia's exports and imports, please click: http://link.reuters.com/xyb28s
KEY DATA
(Exports and imports in percent, trade in billions of ringgit)
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sept August July June
Exports 63.9 67.7 63.73 65.09 64.5 63.88 61.12 61.23
y/y % -0.6 2.7 2.1 -3.1 2.0 1.7 0.6 7.9
Imports 57.6 58.5 52.6 63.9 55.2 60.02 57.48 57.26
y/y % -5.3 4.2 0.0 9.1 1.1 7.6 -0.7 9.2
9.01 9.2 11.13 1.19 9.3 3.86 3.64 3.97
Balance
MAIN EXPORTS
January 2015 % of % change
(bln rgt) total vs year ago
Electrical & Electronic Products 21.8 34.2 5.9
Palm oil 3.05 4.8 -22.4
Liquefied natural gas 6.2 9.7 -0.1
Chemicals and products 4.2 6.6 7.5
Crude oil 2.8 4.4 1.2
Refined petroleum products 3.9 6.2 -41.5
Machinery 2.7 4.2 22.7
Rubber products 1.5 2.4 2.2
EXPORT MARKETS
(bln rgt) % of total % yr/yr
China 6.4 10.1 -22.7
Singapore 8.7 13.7 0.9
Japan 7.5 11.7 -0.9
USA 5.9 9.2 18.1
Thailand 3.8 6.0 12.5
($1 = 3.6470 ringgit)
(Reporting by Trinna Leong and Al-Zaquan Amer Hamzah; Editing by Simon
Cameron-Moore)