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Market Wrap: Attempts to Push Bitcoin Above $40K Stall

Bitcoin stalled for most of Monday before making another run at $40,000 as of press time. The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market valueis holding support above $36,000 and remains up about 20% over the past seven days.

Some analysts are optimistic about a decisive break above $40,000 while others prefer to see stronger signs of upside momentum before calling a bottom in bitcoin.

Latest prices

  • Bitcoin (BTC): $39752.7, -0.3%

  • Ether (ETH): $2523.88, -0.85%

“Bitcoin is at its highest level since May, a notable recovery, but the crypto asset has yet to convincingly break through – and most importantly, close above – the $41,000 mark,” wrote Simon Peters, analyst at multi-asset investment platform eToro, in an email to CoinDesk.

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Related: Valid Points: The Challenge of Decentralized Staking Pools on Eth 2.0

“I would really need to see a stronger increase to feel optimistic about the price recovering and possibly pushing onto $50,000 and beyond,” wrote Peters.

“After a timely correction, we see positive sentiment and market trends with bitcoin stabilizing in the $40,000 range and positioned for a relief rally,” wrote Steve Ehrlich, CEO of Voyager Digital, in an email to CoinDesk.

“We expect bitcoin to see strong support over the next several months above $40,000, which is double the 2017 all-time high,” wrote Ehrlich.

Institutional developments

Below the surface, institutions have been carving out the future of crypto finance – a reminder of how fast the industry is evolving beyond daily price swings, although some 81% of fund managers believe bitcoin is in a bubble, even after May’s 35% price crash, according to a recent Bank of America survey.

Related: Bitcoin Upside Fades; Lower Support at $34K

The integration of cryptocurrencies into the existing financial services industry could boost sentiment despite frequent episodes of price volatility

On Monday, CoinDesk reported that Bitwise Asset Management, a crypto investment firm with $1.2 billion in assets under management, raised $70 million at a $500 million valuation. Several hedge fund giants such as Stanley Druckenmiller and Daniel Loeb’s Third Point LLC participated in Bitwise’s Series B funding round.

Crypto is gradually making its way into the multi-asset universe, evidenced by Bitwise’s plans to grow and establish ties with financial advisory firms. Also, last week State Street, a U.S. custody bank that oversees $40 trillion in assets, launched a cryptocurrency division.

But these institutional developments will take time given the regulatory hurdles and pace of mainstream adoption. For now, traders and analysts are waiting for a catalyst to drive crypto prices higher or lower.

Bitcoin dominance threshold

Bitcoin’s dominance rate – the top cryptocurrency’s share in total market capitalization – remains below 50% at press time, having peaked above 70% in early January.

According to analysts at JPMorgan, that dominance rate is still quite low, which is a bearish sign.

“We believe that the share of bitcoin in the total crypto market would have to normalize and perhaps rise above 50% (as in 2018) to be more comfortable in arguing that the current bear market is behind us,” JPMorgan analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou said in a note published June 9.

Others see the recent stabilization in the dominance rate as a bullish sign.

After an initial capital rotation from altcoins into bitcoin, we expect bitcoin to continue to consolidate sideways until the re-accumulation is complete, scarcity kicks in, and price action,” said Ehrlich in an email to CoinDesk.

Bitcoin futures open interest rise

Outstanding bitcoin futures contracts have climbed to a one-month high, suggesting a rebound of speculative activity surrounding the cryptocurrency after a string of positive headlines that appear to have stabilized the market.

The aggregated dollar value of open interest – bitcoin futures contracts traded but not settled  – has climbed to $13.1 billion, the highest since May 19, data from Skew shows. For the past month, open interest mostly stood in the range of $10.5 billion to $13 billion.

Meanwhile, research by Glassnode shows that short liquidations in bitcoin futures occur when the perpetual funding rate turns negative, during the consolidation for the past month.

Altcoin roundup

  • Though gas fees on the Ethereum blockchain have dropped, an increasing number of decentralized finance (DeFi) users and developers are still flocking to layer 2 solution Polygon, primarily due to the cheap transaction costs and fast block times.

  • The World Economic Forum in its report mentioned several scalability features of blockchain networks including Algorand, Cardano, Celo, XRPL, Solana and Stellar.

  • The chiliz (CHZ), keep network (KEEP) and shiba inu (SHIB) tokens have been listed on Coinbase Pro and will begin trading starting 9 a.m. PT on Thursday although CHZ and SHIB will not be available to New York residents.

  • The Algorand blockchain is getting a network provided by fintech infrastructure provider Six Clovers. The network will use fully regulated stablecoins in connecting banks, merchants and payment providers to make transactions globally.

  • Switzerland’s Sygnum Bank is launching custody and trading across a range of decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens including aave, aragon, curve, maker, synthetix, uniswap and 1inch network.

Relevant news

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