Yahoo Finance McKesson Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued
- By GF Value
The stock of McKesson (NYSE:MCK, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $194.09 per share and the market cap of $30.9 billion, McKesson stock shows every sign of being fairly valued. GF Value for McKesson is shown in the chart below.
Because McKesson is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth, which averaged 12.6% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 4.24% annually over the next three to five years.
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Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company's financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company's financial strength. McKesson has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.38, which ranks worse than 72% of the companies in Medical Distribution industry. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks McKesson's financial strength as 5 out of 10, suggesting fair balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of McKesson over the past years:
It poses less risk to invest in profitable companies, especially those that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. A company with high profit margins is also typically a safer investment than one with low profit margins. McKesson has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $237.6 billion and loss of $26.92 a share. Its operating margin is 1.35%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Medical Distribution industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks the profitability of McKesson at 7 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of McKesson over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of McKesson is 12.6%, which ranks better than 76% of the companies in Medical Distribution industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -29.5%, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Medical Distribution industry.
One can also evaluate a company's profitability by comparing its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the return on invested capital exceeds the weighted average cost of capital, the company is likely creating value for its shareholders. During the past 12 months, McKesson's ROIC is 11.92 while its WACC came in at 5.00. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of McKesson is shown below:
In conclusion, the stock of McKesson (NYSE:MCK, 30-year Financials) is believed to be fairly valued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Medical Distribution industry. To learn more about McKesson stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
