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Is Moneysupermarketcom Group PLC (LON:MONY) On The Right Side Of Disruption?

Moneysupermarketcom Group PLC (LON:MONY), a UK£1.5b small-cap, operates in the retail industry impacted by the digital transformation for all retail channels. Digital’s growing impact has reduced the barriers to entry for new brands and created competition where scale and retailer relationships have historically provided a moat. Retail analysts are forecasting for the entire industry, a highly optimistic growth of 32% in the upcoming year , and an enormous growth of 61% over the next couple of years. This rate is larger than the growth rate of the UK stock market as a whole. I’ll take you through the retail sector growth expectations, and also determine whether Moneysupermarket.com Group is a laggard or leader relative to its retail peers.

View our latest analysis for Moneysupermarket.com Group

What’s the catalyst for Moneysupermarket.com Group’s sector growth?

LSE:MONY Past Future Earnings October 14th 18
LSE:MONY Past Future Earnings October 14th 18

Mobile and automation allow online retailers and brands to scale services in order to make the purchase path as seamless as possible. Various outsourced capabilities in areas such as payments and shipping enables these retailers to scale their business faster than ever before. In the past year, the industry delivered growth in the teens, beating the UK market growth of 15%. Moneysupermarket.com Group lags the pack with its lower growth rate of 5.8% over the past year, which indicates the company has been growing at a slower pace than its online retail peers. Moreover, the trend of below-industry growth rate is expected to continue in the future with Moneysupermarket.com Group poised to deliver a 13% growth compared to the industry average growth rate of 32%. As an industry laggard, Moneysupermarket.com Group may be a cheaper stock relative to its peers.

Is Moneysupermarket.com Group and the sector relatively cheap?

LSE:MONY PE PEG Gauge October 14th 18
LSE:MONY PE PEG Gauge October 14th 18

Online retail companies are typically trading at a PE of 33.64x, higher than the rest of the UK stock market PE of 16.32x. This means the industry, on average, is relatively overvalued compared to the wider market. However, the industry did return a higher 18% compared to the market’s 12%, which may be indicative of past tailwinds. On the stock-level, Moneysupermarket.com Group is trading at a lower PE ratio of 18.9x, making it cheaper than the average online retail stock. In terms of returns, Moneysupermarket.com Group generated 47% in the past year, which is 29% over the online retail sector.

Next Steps:

Moneysupermarket.com Group is a online retail industry laggard in terms of its future growth outlook. This is possibly reflected in the PE ratio, with the stock trading below its peers. If the stock has been on your watchlist for a while, now may be the time to dig deeper. Although the market is expecting lower growth for the company relative to its peers, Moneysupermarket.com Group is also trading at a discount, meaning that there could be some value from a potential mispricing. However, before you make a decision on the stock, I suggest you look at Moneysupermarket.com Group’s fundamentals in order to build a holistic investment thesis.

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  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.

  2. Historical Track Record: What has MONY’s performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Moneysupermarket.com Group? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.