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Is NEXT Biometrics Group (OB:NEXT) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether NEXT Biometrics Group (OB:NEXT) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

Check out our latest analysis for NEXT Biometrics Group

How Long Is NEXT Biometrics Group's Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. In September 2019, NEXT Biometrics Group had kr132m in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was kr119m. Therefore, from September 2019 it had roughly 13 months of cash runway. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

OB:NEXT Historical Debt, January 7th 2020
OB:NEXT Historical Debt, January 7th 2020

How Well Is NEXT Biometrics Group Growing?

It was fairly positive to see that NEXT Biometrics Group reduced its cash burn by 29% during the last year. Having said that, the flat operating revenue was a bit mundane. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how NEXT Biometrics Group has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Easily Can NEXT Biometrics Group Raise Cash?

Even though it seems like NEXT Biometrics Group is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash to drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

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NEXT Biometrics Group has a market capitalisation of kr155m and burnt through kr119m last year, which is 77% of the company's market value. That's very high expenditure relative to the company's size, suggesting it is an extremely high risk stock.

How Risky Is NEXT Biometrics Group's Cash Burn Situation?

On this analysis of NEXT Biometrics Group's cash burn, we think its cash burn reduction was reassuring, while its cash burn relative to its market cap has us a bit worried. After looking at that range of measures, we think shareholders should be extremely attentive to how the company is using its cash, as the cash burn makes us uncomfortable. While we always like to monitor cash burn for early stage companies, qualitative factors such as the CEO pay can also shed light on the situation. Click here to see free what the NEXT Biometrics Group CEO is paid..

Of course NEXT Biometrics Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.