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Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Credito Valtellinese S.p.A. (BIT:CVAL)?

Credito Valtellinese S.p.A. (BIT:CVAL), operating in the financial services industry based in Italy, saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the BIT. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Credito Valtellinese’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Credito Valtellinese

Is Credito Valtellinese still cheap?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Credito Valtellinese’s ratio of 5.31x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 5.79x, which means if you buy Credito Valtellinese today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe that Credito Valtellinese should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Credito Valtellinese’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Credito Valtellinese look like?

BIT:CVAL Past and Future Earnings May 14th 2020
BIT:CVAL Past and Future Earnings May 14th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Credito Valtellinese, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -5.5%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? CVAL seems priced close to industry peers right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on CVAL, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CVAL for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystallize your views on CVAL should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Credito Valtellinese. You can find everything you need to know about Credito Valtellinese in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Credito Valtellinese, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.