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Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Volex plc (LON:VLX)?

Volex plc (LON:VLX), which is in the electrical business, and is based in United Kingdom, saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the AIM. Less-covered, small caps tend to present more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s take a look at Volex’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Volex

What's the opportunity in Volex?

According to my relative valuation model, the stock seems to be currently fairly priced. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 21.15x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 22.94x, which means if you buy Volex today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe Volex should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond where it’s currently trading. Furthermore, Volex’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This may mean it is less likely for the stock to fall lower from natural market volatility, which suggests less opportunities to buy moving forward.

What does the future of Volex look like?

AIM:VLX Past and Future Earnings, February 19th 2020
AIM:VLX Past and Future Earnings, February 19th 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a relatively muted revenue growth of 9.0% expected in the upcoming year, short term growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Volex.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? VLX’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at VLX? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on VLX, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive growth outlook may mean it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Volex. You can find everything you need to know about Volex in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Volex, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.