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Is There Now An Opportunity In AIA Group Limited (HKG:1299)?

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AIA Group Limited (HKG:1299) saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SEHK. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine AIA Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for AIA Group

What's the opportunity in AIA Group?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 2.74% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy AIA Group today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is HK$83.71, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because AIA Group’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from AIA Group?

SEHK:1299 Past and Future Earnings, July 4th 2019
SEHK:1299 Past and Future Earnings, July 4th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. AIA Group’s earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? 1299’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 1299, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on AIA Group. You can find everything you need to know about AIA Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in AIA Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.