U.S. crude hits 3-year high as prices climb in tight market
* U.S crude hits $63.24/bbl, highest since December 2014
* OPEC-led output cuts, dip in U.S. inventories support
prices
* U.S. crude inventories seen lower for 8th straight week
* U.S. oil output to hit record over 11 mln bpd by end 2019
- EIA
* Iran says OPEC "not keen" on oil price rise
* Coming Up: API U.S. oil inventory data at 1630 EST (2130
GMT)
(New (KOSDAQ: 160550.KQ - news) throughout, updates prices and market activity to
settlement)
By Devika Krishna Kumar
NEW YORK, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged higher on
Tuesday, with U.S. crude touching its highest since December
2014, supported by OPEC-led production cuts and expectations
that U.S. crude inventories have dropped for an eighth week in a
row.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and
allies including Russia are keeping supply limits in place in
2018, a second year of restraint, to reduce a price-denting glut
of oil held in inventories.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $1.23,
or 2 percent, to settle at $62.96 a barrel after touching its
highest since December 2014 at $63.24.
Brent crude ended the session up $1.04, or 1.5
percent, at $68.82 per barrel after hitting a session high of
$69.08, its highest since May 2015. Both contracts had their
strongest close since December 2014.
"You're so long this market at this point, you could
certainly get more interest at these levels," said Rob Haworth,
senior investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.
"This is a little more confirmation of what speculators have
been looking for and after tomorrow's (U.S. government
inventory) report, we'll see if they look to do some
profit-taking."
OPEC is cutting output by even more than it promised and the
restraint is reducing oil stocks globally, a trend most visible
in the United States, the world's largest and most transparent
oil market.
Supply reports this week from industry group the American
Petroleum Institute and the U.S. government's Energy Information
Administration are expected to show U.S. crude stocks fell 3.9
million barrels, an eighth week of decline.
The API releases its data at 4:30 p.m. EST (2130 GMT) on
Tuesday and the government report is due at 10:30 a.m. EST on
Wednesday.
"We expect oil demand growth to outpace non-OPEC supply
growth in both 2018 and 2019," Standard Chartered (BSE: 580001.BO - news) analysts said
in a note.
"In our view, the back of the Brent and WTI curves are both
still underpriced. We do not think that prices below $65 per
barrel are sustainable into the medium term."
Many producers, still suffering from a 2014 price collapse,
are enjoying the rally, although they are wary it will spur
rival supply sources. Iran said OPEC members were not keen on
increased prices.
The rise in prices is expected to drive gains in U.S.
production during 2018, offsetting curbs by others.
U.S. crude oil production is expected to surpass 10 million
barrels per day (bpd) next month, en route to an all-time record
months ahead of previous forecasts, the U.S. Energy Information
Administration said Tuesday.
Production was expected to rise to an average 10.04 million
bpd during the first quarter of this year.
Some analysts have said the rise in U.S. shale oil
production could discourage OPEC and Russia to maintain their
deal to curb supply until the end of the year for fears of
losing market share.
"I am now on the lookout for bearish technical patterns to
emerge on oil prices as I believe they will struggle to go north
of $65-$75 per barrel given the above fundamental
consideration," said Fawad Razaqzada, technical analyst for
Forex.com.
"If WTI were to go back below the 2017 high of $60.48, which
was hit late in the year, and the 2018's opening price of
$60.09, then the technical outlook would turn bearish on oil.
But for now, the bullish trend remains intact as prices remain
above key supports."
(Additional reporting by Alex Lawler in London, Henning
Gloystein in Singapore; editing by Marguerita Choy and David
Gregorio)