This retirement expert says the US is ‘past the point where we can fix Social Security by cutting benefits’
The Social Security system in the United States is in deep trouble.
The grand coffers that fund the nation’s retirement and disability benefits are starting to run dry, per the Trustees of the Social Security and Medicare 2024 report.
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Within the next decade, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund — which is used to pay retired workers, their spouses and children, and survivors — is expected to deplete to such an extent that by 2033, it will only be able to meet 79% of its obligations.
Up against a ticking clock, lawmakers, economists and money managers are butting heads over how to fund the vital social program — with some calling for benefit cuts or increases to the retirement age, while others would prefer to expand the program’s sources of revenue.
According to labor economist Teresa Ghilarducci, a renowned thought-leader on U.S. retirement issues, there are “many easy fixes” to the nation’s Social Security conundrum. Here’s what she recommends.
Expand Social Security’s revenue sources
Ghilarducci is firmly in the “put more revenue in it” camp.
“We are past the point where we can fix Social Security by cutting benefits,” she said in a recent interview with Bloomberg. “That is a non-starter because the benefits for Social Security are keeping almost all of the people on Social Security (everybody below a certain amount [of income]) above the poverty level.
“It is a vital anti-poverty device. Cutting it would just make the system even more grim. So we need [to pump] more revenue into it.”
The Social Security Act of 1935 established a support system funded by contributions in the form of taxes on individuals’ wages and employers’ payrolls, rather than directly from government funds.
By the 1940s, actuaries and policymakers started to express concerns that the payroll tax rates might not be sufficient to cover the future costs of the program — especially with an aging population and a growing number of beneficiaries. Ghilarducci is still arguing that case today.
“We should not just be dependent upon the payroll tax to fund the whole thing,” she told Bloomberg. “There are many easy fixes to Social Security … it really requires more money from other pots, [like] capital gains. There’s a lot of other places [where] we can get Social Security revenue.
“The key thing, as an economist, is whether or not the amount of money needed will break the bank, will break the economy — and we’re nowhere near that.”
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Funding shortfalls
Not everyone is convinced by Ghilarducci’s stance of throwing more money at the matter — especially when the U.S. is in debt by almost $35 trillion and has a national deficit of almost $1.3 trillion.
Social Security is the largest government spend, according to Treasury data, accounting for 22% of government outlay so far this year.
The demands on the program are only going to grow. In 1940, the life expectancy of a 65-year-old was almost 14 years; today, it is over 20 years, according to the Social Security Administration. Furthermore, the number of Americans 65 and older is expected to increase from about 58 million in 2022 to about 75 million by 2035.
This year, around 68 million Americans will receive a Social Security benefit every month, totaling about $1.5 trillion in benefits paid during the year. That dollar amount will grow as more Americans reach retirement age and collect benefits for longer.
To combat that, some parties have argued that the retirement age should be lifted from 65 to more like 67 or even 70. Others have suggested making cuts to the program and altering its underlying structure to prevent future insolvency.
As Ghilarducci pointed out, there are many ways to try and “fix” Social Security; the problem is that no one in Washington can agree on what’s the best foot forward.
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This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.