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A Sliding Share Price Has Us Looking At Arcontech Group plc's (LON:ARC) P/E Ratio

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Arcontech Group (LON:ARC) share price has dived 50% in the last thirty days. Even longer term holders have taken a real hit with the stock declining 13% in the last year.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

See our latest analysis for Arcontech Group

Does Arcontech Group Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Arcontech Group's P/E of 12.42 indicates relatively low sentiment towards the stock. We can see in the image below that the average P/E (22.9) for companies in the software industry is higher than Arcontech Group's P/E.

AIM:ARC Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 20th 2020
AIM:ARC Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 20th 2020

Arcontech Group's P/E tells us that market participants think it will not fare as well as its peers in the same industry. Since the market seems unimpressed with Arcontech Group, it's quite possible it could surprise on the upside. If you consider the stock interesting, further research is recommended. For example, I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. When earnings grow, the 'E' increases, over time. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

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Arcontech Group's earnings per share grew by 5.8% in the last twelve months. And earnings per share have improved by 25% annually, over the last five years.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

Spending on growth might be good or bad a few years later, but the point is that the P/E ratio does not account for the option (or lack thereof).

How Does Arcontech Group's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

With net cash of UK£4.4m, Arcontech Group has a very strong balance sheet, which may be important for its business. Having said that, at 30% of its market capitalization the cash hoard would contribute towards a higher P/E ratio.

The Bottom Line On Arcontech Group's P/E Ratio

Arcontech Group trades on a P/E ratio of 12.4, which is above its market average of 11.2. Recent earnings growth wasn't bad. Also positive, the relatively strong balance sheet will allow for investment in growth -- and the P/E indicates shareholders that will happen! Given Arcontech Group's P/E ratio has declined from 24.8 to 12.4 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who don't like to trade against momentum, that could be a warning sign, but a contrarian investor might want to take a closer look.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. People often underestimate remarkable growth -- so investors can make money when fast growth is not fully appreciated. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

You might be able to find a better buy than Arcontech Group. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.