Speculators lift U.S. dollar net longs to highest since Feb -CFTC, Reuters
* Dollar net long bets rise to highest since Feb. 2
* Sterling net shorts rise to most since 2013
(Adds data on sterling, euro)
By Dion Rabouin
NEW YORK, July 29 (Reuters) - Speculators raised bullish
U.S (Other OTC: UBGXF - news) . dollar bets this week to the highest level in nearly five
months, as investors were encouraged by strong U.S. economic
data that reinforced expectations of an interest rate hike by
the Federal Reserve in 2016.
The strong dollar position was also bolstered by short bets
against the British pound and euro in the wake of Britain's vote
to leave the European Union.
The value of the dollar's net long position increased to
$13.66 billion in the week ended July 26 from $10.42 billion the
previous week, according to Reuters calculations and data from
the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released on Friday.
That was the highest level since Feb. 2 and the 10th
straight week of net dollar long positioning by speculators.
The week's trading ended prior to the release on Friday of
second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product data, which showed
the economy grew by 1.2 percent on an annualized basis.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected 2.6 percent growth.
The dollar had been buoyed by a much stronger-than-expected
June U.S. non-farm payrolls report, which came out two weeks
ago, and inflation, retail sales and jobless claims data that
pointed to a strengthening U.S. economy.
The data helped bolster bets the Fed would raise rates by
year-end, with Fed funds futures rates showing traders had
priced in a greater-than-50-percent chance of a rate hike
earlier in the week, according to CME Group (Kuala Lumpur: 7018.KL - news) 's FedWatch.
"People were positioned for a hawkish Fed," said Axel Merk,
president and portfolio manager at Merk Hard Currency Fund in
Palo Alto, California. "When everybody assumes something's going
to happen, everybody's positioned that way. Then the news
comes."
Brexit has also spurred an increase in net short positions
against both the British pound and the euro.
Sterling net-short positions rose to 80,572, the highest
since June 2013. Speculators placed more than 100,000 net short
contracts against the euro, the largest net-short position in
the continental currency since late January.
The Reuters calculation for the aggregate U.S. dollar
position is derived from net positions of International Monetary
Market speculators in the yen, euro, British pound, Swiss franc
and Canadian and Australian dollars.
Japanese Yen (Contracts of 12,500,000 yen)
$-4.176 billion
26 Jul 2016 Prior week
week
Long 74,074 79,864
Short 39,116 40,511
Net (LSE: 0LN0.L - news) 34,958 39,353
EURO (Contracts of 125,000 euros)
$15.463 billion
26 Jul 2016 Prior week
week
Long 109,193 111,578
Short 221,793 211,469
Net -112,600 -99,891
POUND STERLING (Contracts of 62,500 pounds sterling)
$6.61 billion
26 Jul 2016 Prior week
week
Long 29,819 27,959
Short 110,391 102,345
Net -80,572 -74,386
SWISS FRANC (Contracts of 125,000 Swiss francs)
$-0.119 billion
26 Jul 2016 Prior week
week
Long 26,807 23,191
Short 25,861 18,504
Net 946 4,687
CANADIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Canadian dollars)
$-1.758 billion
26 Jul 2016 Prior week
week
Long 44,023 43,086
Short 20,843 21,018
Net 23,180 22,068
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Aussie dollars)
$-2.363 billion
26 Jul 2016 Prior week
week
Long 57,083 61,642
Short 25,573 28,211
Net 31,510 33,431
MEXICAN PESO (Contracts of 500,000 pesos)
$1.24 billion
26 Jul 2016 Prior week
week
Long 24,114 24,675
Short 70,676 64,041
Net -46,562 -39,366
NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 New Zealand dollars)
$-0.015 billion
26 Jul 2016 Prior week
week
Long 26,598 29,156
Short 26,383 26,983
Net 215 2,173
(Reporting by Dion Rabouin; Editing by Leslie Adler and Richard
Chang)