UK markets open in 6 hours 53 minutes
  • NIKKEI 225

    29,291.01
    0.00 (0.00%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    28,436.84
    -201.66 (-0.70%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    71.49
    -0.66 (-0.91%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    1,819.30
    -42.10 (-2.26%)
     
  • DOW

    34,033.67
    -265.63 (-0.77%)
     
  • BTC-GBP

    27,422.58
    -1,363.51 (-4.74%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    949.57
    -42.90 (-4.32%)
     
  • ^IXIC

    14,039.68
    -33.22 (-0.24%)
     
  • ^FTAS

    4,088.47
    +5.27 (+0.13%)
     

Target Healthcare REIT PLC (LON:THRL) Is Up But Financials Look Inconsistent: Which Way Is The Stock Headed?

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·4-min read
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

Most readers would already know that Target Healthcare REIT's (LON:THRL) stock increased by 4.6% over the past month. However, we decided to study the company's mixed-bag of fundamentals to assess what this could mean for future share prices, as stock prices tend to be aligned with a company's long-term financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Target Healthcare REIT's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Target Healthcare REIT

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Target Healthcare REIT is:

6.2% = UK£31m ÷ UK£495m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every £1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated £0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Target Healthcare REIT's Earnings Growth And 6.2% ROE

At first glance, Target Healthcare REIT's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.7%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Target Healthcare REIT has shown a modest net income growth of 19% over the past five years. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

As a next step, we compared Target Healthcare REIT's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 10%.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for THRL? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Target Healthcare REIT Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

The really high three-year median payout ratio of 130% for Target Healthcare REIT suggests that the company is paying its shareholders more than what it is earning. However, this hasn't really hampered its ability to grow as we saw earlier. That being said, the high payout ratio could be worth keeping an eye on in case the company is unable to keep up its current growth momentum. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Target Healthcare REIT visit our risks dashboard for free.

Moreover, Target Healthcare REIT is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of eight years of paying a dividend. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 89% over the next three years. Despite the lower expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Target Healthcare REIT. While the company has posted impressive earnings growth, its poor ROE and low earnings retention makes us doubtful if that growth could continue, if by any chance the business is faced with any sort of risk. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

Our goal is to create a safe and engaging place for users to connect over interests and passions. In order to improve our community experience, we are temporarily suspending article commenting