‘AI Craze’ Powers Best Week in 2024 for Stocks: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) -- A rally in the world’s largest technology companies lifted stocks, with Wall Street also breathing a sigh of relief after the latest inflation data came roughly in line with estimates.

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Equities notched their best week in 2024 after Microsoft Corp. and Google’s parent Alphabet Inc. sent a clear message to investors: Our spending on artificial intelligence and cloud computing is paying off. That came as a positive signal for many traders wondering whether the main engine of the bull market would be able to live up to the high bar set for the industry.

The latest results from large technology companies have reinforced the group’s strong fundamentals, helping offset worries about the macroeconomic backdrop, according to Solita Marcelli at UBS Global Wealth Management.

“With tech fundamentals staying robust, in particular from big tech in the first quarter, we continue to highlight the recent correction has provided interesting entry points for tech and AI-related stocks,” Marcelli said.

The S&P 500 closed around 5,100, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 climbed almost 2%. The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined four basis points to 4.67%. The dolar rose.

To Clark Bellin at Bellwether Wealth, Friday’s inflation report keeps rate cuts on the table for 2024, but more likely towards the end of the year.

“We believe the stock market can power through these elevated interest rates, as earnings are still fairly strong and companies are figuring out how to still thrive in this high interest rate environment,” he noted.

Bellin says investors should continue to be on the lookout for opportunities in the market and consider taking advantage of the recent pullback, where “many quality stocks went on sale.”

“Every new inflation print has elevated importance, and the market was in need of an ‘in-line’ print to confirm that the Fed wasn’t starting to lose this battle,” said John Kerschner at Janus Henderson Investors. “Although inflation is still too high for the Fed’s comfort, if progress does continue, it still may be reasonable to assume one, maybe two, cuts in 2024.”

The US equity market will continue to rely on a handful of megacaps stocks for direction until an uptick in real interest rates ignites recession fears, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists led by Michael Hartnett.

That concentration will remain intact until real 10-year yields — rates adjusted to reflect the true cost of funds — rise to around 3%, “or higher yields combine with higher credit spreads to threaten recession,” they wrote.

Elevated bond yields adjusted for inflation, seen as a proxy for tight financial conditions, are a common way for stock-market bubbles to burst.

Corporate Highlights:

• Intel Corp., the biggest maker of personal computer processors, gave a lackluster forecast for the current period, indicating that it’s still struggling to return to the top tier of the chip industry.

• Snap Inc. offered positive signs that its efforts to revamp its digital advertising business are gaining popularity with marketers — boosting revenue and providing stronger competition with powerhouses Google and Meta Platforms Inc.

• Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. declined after disappointing first-quarter performances.

• AbbVie Inc. lifted its full-year profit guidance as newer anti-inflammatory treatments like Rinvoq and Skyrizi take over for Humira, the blockbuster arthritis drug that fueled the company’s growth for more than 15 years.

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

• The S&P 500 rose 1% as of 4 p.m. New York time

• The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.7%

• The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4%

• The MSCI World index rose 0.9%

Currencies

• The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%

• The euro fell 0.3% to $1.0700

• The British pound fell 0.1% to $1.2498

• The Japanese yen fell 1.4% to 157.90 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies

• Bitcoin fell 1.6% to $63,767.27

• Ether fell 1.2% to $3,135.52

Bonds

• The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined four basis points to 4.67%

• Germany’s 10-year yield declined six basis points to 2.57%

• Britain’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 4.32%

Commodities

• West Texas Intermediate crude was little changed

• Spot gold rose 0.3% to $2,339.99 an ounce

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

--With assistance from Michael Msika.

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