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There's Reason For Concern Over PCI-PAL PLC's (LON:PCIP) Price

It's not a stretch to say that PCI-PAL PLC's (LON:PCIP) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for Diversified Financial companies in the United Kingdom, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for PCI-PAL

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ps-multiple-vs-industry

How Has PCI-PAL Performed Recently?

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, PCI-PAL has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think the company's revenue will be less resilient moving forward. Those who are bullish on PCI-PAL will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

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If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on PCI-PAL.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For PCI-PAL?

PCI-PAL's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 273% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 27% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 38%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that PCI-PAL's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

When you consider that PCI-PAL's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware PCI-PAL is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are potentially serious.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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