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Those Who Purchased BAUER (ETR:B5A) Shares A Year Ago Have A 26% Loss To Show For It

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the BAUER Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:B5A) share price has gained 27% in the last three months. But that is minimal compensation for the share price under-performance over the last year. In fact the stock is down 26% in the last year, well below the market return.

See our latest analysis for BAUER

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

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Unfortunately BAUER reported an EPS drop of 64% for the last year. The share price fall of 26% isn’t as bad as the reduction in earnings per share. So despite the weak per-share profits, some investors are probably relieved the situation wasn’t more difficult.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

XTRA:B5A Past and Future Earnings, March 12th 2019
XTRA:B5A Past and Future Earnings, March 12th 2019

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We’d be remiss not to mention the difference between BAUER’s total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for BAUER shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 26%, over the last year, isn’t as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 8.0% in the twelve months, BAUER shareholders did even worse, losing 26% (even including dividends). Having said that, it’s inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year’s performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3.1% over the last half decade. We realise that Buffett has said investors should ‘buy when there is blood on the streets’, but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality businesses. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how BAUER scores on these 3 valuation metrics.

But note: BAUER may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.