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Those Who Purchased DS Smith (LON:SMDS) Shares Three Years Ago Have A 23% Loss To Show For It

DS Smith Plc (LON:SMDS) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 14% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years haven't been great. To be specific, the share price is a full 8.1% lower, while the market is down , with a return of (-7.2%)..

Check out our latest analysis for DS Smith

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

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DS Smith saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 0.4% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 8.2% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

LSE:SMDS Past and Future Earnings May 27th 2020
LSE:SMDS Past and Future Earnings May 27th 2020

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on DS Smith's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for DS Smith the TSR over the last 3 years was -8.1%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that DS Smith has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 11% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 3.6% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for DS Smith (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course DS Smith may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

Love or hate this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.