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Those Who Purchased McBride (LON:MCB) Shares Three Years Ago Have A 69% Loss To Show For It

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. Long term McBride plc (LON:MCB) shareholders know that all too well, since the share price is down considerably over three years. Unfortunately, they have held through a 69% decline in the share price in that time. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 41% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 30% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 26% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

View our latest analysis for McBride

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

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During the three years that the share price fell, McBride's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 32% each year. The 33% average annual share price decline is remarkably close to the EPS decline. So it seems that investor expectations of the company are staying pretty steady, despite the disappointment. In this case, it seems that the EPS is guiding the share price.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

LSE:MCB Past and Future Earnings March 26th 2020
LSE:MCB Past and Future Earnings March 26th 2020

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on McBride's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 16% in the twelve months, McBride shareholders did even worse, losing 41% (even including dividends) . Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 8.9% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand McBride better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - McBride has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

McBride is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.