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Those Who Purchased Skanska (STO:SKA B) Shares Three Years Ago Have A 14% Loss To Show For It

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But if you try your hand at stock picking, your risk returning less than the market. We regret to report that long term Skanska AB (publ) (STO:SKA B) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 14% in three years, versus a market decline of about 6.9%. It's down 26% in about a quarter. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 18% in the same period.

See our latest analysis for Skanska

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

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During the three years that the share price fell, Skanska's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 2.8% each year. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 4.9% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 11.41.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

OM:SKA B Past and Future Earnings May 21st 2020
OM:SKA B Past and Future Earnings May 21st 2020

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Skanska's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Skanska's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Skanska's TSR of was a loss of 6.3% for the 3 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Skanska shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 9.9% over the last year. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 3.2%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Skanska that you should be aware of.

Skanska is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SE exchanges.

Love or hate this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.