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Is It Time To Consider Buying Credito Valtellinese S.p.A. (BIT:CVAL)?

Credito Valtellinese S.p.A. (BIT:CVAL), operating in the financial services industry based in Italy, led the BIT gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s take a look at Credito Valtellinese’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Credito Valtellinese

What is Credito Valtellinese worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 8.8x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 8.9x, which means if you buy Credito Valtellinese today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe Credito Valtellinese should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond where it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Credito Valtellinese’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Credito Valtellinese generate?

BIT:CVAL Past and Future Earnings, September 16th 2019
BIT:CVAL Past and Future Earnings, September 16th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Credito Valtellinese’s earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in CVAL’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at CVAL? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CVAL, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for CVAL, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Credito Valtellinese. You can find everything you need to know about Credito Valtellinese in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Credito Valtellinese, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.