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Time To Worry? Analysts Are Downgrading Their Hudson Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:HDSN) Outlook

The analysts covering Hudson Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:HDSN) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.

Following the downgrade, the consensus from four analysts covering Hudson Technologies is for revenues of US$258m in 2024, implying a noticeable 6.9% decline in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to plummet 27% to US$0.74 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$288m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.97 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a large cut to earnings per share numbers as well.

See our latest analysis for Hudson Technologies

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earnings-and-revenue-growth

The consensus price target fell 18% to US$12.00, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.

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Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 9.1% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2024. That is a notable change from historical growth of 18% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 5.7% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Hudson Technologies' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Hudson Technologies. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Hudson Technologies' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Hudson Technologies.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Hudson Technologies going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.