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Is It Too Late To Buy UBM plc (LON:UBM)?

UBM plc (LON:UBM), a media company based in United Kingdom, saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the LSE over the last few months. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at UBM’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists. Check out our latest analysis for UBM

Is UBM still cheap?

UBM appears to be overvalued by 41.43% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at UK£10.80 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of £7.64. This means that the opportunity to buy UBM at a good price has disappeared! In addition to this, it seems like UBM’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of UBM look like?

LSE:UBM Future Profit June 22nd 18
LSE:UBM Future Profit June 22nd 18

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 19.97% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for UBM. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? UBM’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe UBM should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on UBM for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for UBM, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on UBM. You can find everything you need to know about UBM in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in UBM, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.