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Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Mohawk Industries, Inc. (NYSE:MHK)?

While Mohawk Industries, Inc. (NYSE:MHK) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$136 and falling to the lows of US$99.85. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Mohawk Industries' current trading price of US$99.85 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Mohawk Industries’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Mohawk Industries

What's The Opportunity In Mohawk Industries?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 6.44x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 7.04x, which means if you buy Mohawk Industries today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe that Mohawk Industries should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Mohawk Industries’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Mohawk Industries generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 11% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Mohawk Industries. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? MHK’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at MHK? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MHK, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for MHK, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Mohawk Industries, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Mohawk Industries has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

If you are no longer interested in Mohawk Industries, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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