TREASURIES-Prices fall, Tuesday's payrolls data in focus
* September payrolls data on Tuesday next market focus
* Fed buys $3.69 bln notes due 2019 and 2020
* Overnight repo costs normalize at around 0.06 pct
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, Oct (KOSDAQ: 039200.KQ - news) 21 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasuries prices fell on
Monday before Tuesday's release of September employment data,
whose issuance was delayed by the 16-day partial government
shutdown which clouded the U.S. economic outlook.
Lawmakers late last Wednesday increased the U.S. debt
ceiling until February and reopened the government, turning the
market focus back to when the Fed is likely reduce its $85
billion-a-month bond buying program.
The shutdown turned the spigot off of much U.S. economic
data. Its dearth muddied insight into economic strength and has
pushed back expectations over when the Fed is likely to begin to
taper to the first quarter of next year. The payrolls report was
originally scheduled for release on Oct. 4.
"The (data) expectations are probably that it has a better
chance of being stronger because it was pre-government
shutdown," said Charles Comiskey, head of Treasuries trading at
Bank of Nova Scotia (Other OTC: BKSHF - news) in New York.
Market reaction to the number may be limited, however,
because of the delay in its release. The payrolls report for
October, to be released on Nov. 8, after being originally
scheduled for Nov. 1, will be of greater importance.
"I think the market is already looking at the report for
October, that will be more important in terms of what the
near-term is, and also Fed policy," Comiskey said.
On Monday, benchmark 10-year notes were last
down 5/32 in price to yield 2.61 percent, up from 2.59 percent
late on Friday. The yields rose as high as 3 percent on Sept.
5, before the Fed surprised investors by keeping the size of its
bond purchase program unchanged.
Among other data the department rescheduled was the consumer
price index for September, which will now be released on Oct.
30, and the producer price index for September, now due on Oct.
29.
Data on Monday showed that U.S. home resales fell in
September and prices rose at their slowest pace in five months,
a sign that higher mortgage rates may be taking some edge off
the housing recovery.
Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said on Monday that it
will likely take months to sort out the picture of the labor
market and that a tapering of bond purchases may begin later
because of the budget battle in Washington.
The Fed bought $3.69 billion in notes due 2019 and 2020 on
Monday as part of its ongoing purchase program.
The cost of borrowing overnight against Treasuries traded
back at more normal levels, at around 0.06 percent on Monday.
An influx of cash as investors returned to the market had
sent the cost of borrowing against Treasuries into negative
levels, around minus 0.10 percent, late on Friday.
Concerns about taking possession of Treasuries bills that
were at risk of a U.S. default had disrupted the repo market
before Wednesday's agreement to raise the debt ceiling, making
it more expensive to obtain the loans.