TREASURIES-U.S. yields fall, tracking European bonds
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK, Jan 16 (Reuters) - U.S. long-dated Treasury yields
fell on Tuesday along with those of European bonds, after a
report said the European Central Bank was not quite ready to put
away its bond-buying scheme at next week's meeting.
U.S. yields have dropped in three of the last four sessions.
"There's a pullback in (German) bund yields and we're seeing
a little bit of that spill over to the U.S.," said Subadra
Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy, at Societe Generale (Swiss: 519928.SW - news) in New (KOSDAQ: 160550.KQ - news)
York.
Long-dated U.S. yields, which move inversely to prices,
dropped to one-week lows, while those on 2-year notes rose after
hitting a more than nine-year high last Friday.
A Reuters report on Tuesday suggested the ECB was unlikely
to ditch a pledge to keep buying bonds at next week's meeting as
policymakers need more time to assess the outlook for the
economy and the euro. Yields on European bonds fell
across the board after that report.
Also on Tuesday, the U.S. yield curve resumed its flattening
trend after steepening most of last week, with the spread
between 5- and 30-year maturities sinking to
48.70 basis points, its lowest in more than a week, according to
Reuters data.
The spread between yields of short- and long-dated
maturities has compressed as investors price in the expectation
that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise U.S. overnight
interest rates, even as long-term inflation expectations have
remained low. Global demand for yield also has supported
longer-dated debt.
"The Fed is going to soldier on with its tightening campaign
as long as there isn't a material breakdown in the real data,"
said BMO Capital Markets in a research note.
The rate futures market has priced in a more than 70 percent
chance the Fed will raise interest rates at the March meeting,
according to the CME's FedWatch.
In late morning trading, the benchmark 10-year Treasury
yield slipped to 2.538 percent, from 2.552 percent
late on Friday.
U.S. bond markets were closed on Monday due to the
observance of Martin Luther King Jr day.
U.S. 30-year bond yields were down at 2.840
percent from Friday's 2.853 percent.
U.S. two-year yields, meanwhile, rose to 2.018
percent, from 2.002 percent on Friday. The U.S. two-year notes
is the maturity most sensitive to rate hike expectations.
January 16 Tuesday 10:44AM New York / 1544 GMT
Price
US T BONDS MAR8 150-24/32 0-8/32
10YR TNotes MAR8 123-12/256 0-28/256
Price Current Net
Yield % Change
(bps)
Three-month bills 1.4325 1.4573 0.012
Six-month bills 1.5725 1.6067 0.005
Two-year note 99-188/256 2.0142 0.012
Three-year note 99-164/256 2.1245 0.009
Five-year note 98-250/256 2.3449 -0.003
Seven-year note 98-156/256 2.4688 -0.012
10-year note 97-128/256 2.5389 -0.013
30-year bond 98-60/256 2.838 -0.015
DOLLAR SWAP SPREADS
Last (bps) Net (LSE: 0LN0.L - news)
Change
(bps)
U.S. 2-year dollar swap 19.75 ******
spread
U.S. 3-year dollar swap 18.50 ******
spread
U.S. 5-year dollar swap 5.50 ******
spread
U.S. 10-year dollar swap -0.50 ******
spread
U.S. 30-year dollar swap -19.00 0.75
spread
(Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by David
Gregorio)