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At UK£1.89, Is It Time To Put Arrow Global Group PLC (LON:ARW) On Your Watch List?

Arrow Global Group PLC (LON:ARW), which is in the consumer finance business, and is based in United Kingdom, saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the LSE. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Arrow Global Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Arrow Global Group

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What is Arrow Global Group worth?

According to my relative valuation model, the stock seems to be currently fairly priced. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 7.49x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 9.35x, which means if you buy Arrow Global Group today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Arrow Global Group should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Arrow Global Group’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Arrow Global Group look like?

LSE:ARW Future Profit January 21st 19
LSE:ARW Future Profit January 21st 19

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 85% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Arrow Global Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? ARW’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at ARW? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the true value?

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ARW, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for ARW, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Arrow Global Group. You can find everything you need to know about Arrow Global Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Arrow Global Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.