UK gets strong demand for inflation-linked debt as global markets convulse
By Andy Bruce
LONDON, Feb 6 (Reuters) - Britain received strong demand
from investors when it sold several billion pounds of 30-year
inflation-protected debt on Tuesday, as global market ructions
sparked by fears of faster U.S. inflation deepened.
Investors placed orders worth 16.3 billion pounds ($22.7
billion) for the 0.125 percent 2048 index-linked gilt
at a syndicated sale. This allowed the UK Debt
Management Office (DMO) to raise around 4.5 billion pounds
through the sale of gilts with a face value of 2.75 billion
pounds.
The gilts were sold at a real yield of -1.475 percent, the
third lowest on record and an indication of robust demand. The
DMO said domestic investors accounted for about 85 percent of
demand, as is usual for this type of gilt.
"We have seen a very pleasing conclusion to our 2017/18
syndication programme today," DMO chief executive Robert
Stheeman said. "This was a very smooth and well-executed
transaction attracting high quality demand from our core
domestic investor base."
The sale pushed up real yields slightly across the
longest-dated British linkers as prices fell while the market
digested the issuance, compared with price rises for
shorter-dated debt .
In the wider market, conventional gilt yields fell sharply
along with those for German Bunds and U.S. Treasuries as equity
prices took another dive.
The current bout of market instability stems from strong
U.S. wage data last Friday that fuelled expectations of higher
inflation and interest rates.
While that initially hurt bond markets, the scale of the
drop in equities this week has sent investors heading back to
the safety of fixed-income assets.
Societe Generale (Swiss: 519928.SW - news) fixed-income strategist Jason Simpson said
the latest rally in gilt prices implied markets now saw less of
a chance that the BoE (Shenzhen: 000725.SZ - news) would raise interest rates in May.
No economists polled by Reuters last month expected the BoE
to raise rates at this week's meeting, but an increasing number
saw a chance of a May move and Simpson said financial markets
had priced in a probability of as much as 70 percent.
The BoE indicated in November that it would probably need to
raise interest rates twice more over the next few years if
Britain's economy developed as expected.
"(Yields) had been pricing in a 60-70 percent chance of a
May rate hike -- I just don't buy it, I don't think the Bank of
England would change their tune so quickly," Simpson said.
"I think people have maybe had a step back after seeing
equities wobble, and there are still a lot of risks out there."
He pointed to a renewed lack of clarity from Britain's
government about its ultimate objectives when it leaves the
European. "There's still a very confused picture, that's induced
a little of bit of instability around (Prime Minister Theresa)
May's premiership," Simpson said.
Ten-year gilt yields fell 4 basis points on
Tuesday to 1.52 percent.
The yield spread between 10-year British and German
government bonds rose to 82.7 basis points, around a
basis point wider on the day.
BofA Merrill Lynch, JPMorgan (LSE: JPIU.L - news) , Lloyds Bank and Santander
acted jointly as bookrunners for Tuesday's syndicated linker
sale.
March long gilt future 121.93 (+0.53)
June 2018 short sterling 99.29 (+0.01)
Dec (Shanghai: 600875.SS - news) 2018 short sterling 99.09 (+0.02)
10-year gilt yield 1.52 (-4.1 bps)
-------------------KEY MARKET DATA---------------------------
Long Gilt futures Gilt benchmark chain
Short Stg futures Cash market quotes
Deposit rates Sterling cross rates
UK debt speedguide
-------------------KEY MARKET REPORTS--------------------------
Gilts Sterling
Euro Debt Dollar
U.S. Treasuries Debt reports
--------------------GILT STRIPS DATA -------------------------
Gilt strips data All gilt strips
Gilt strips IO Gilt strips PO
($1 = 0.7172 pounds)
(Editing by Catherine Evans)