UK gilt yields hit one month low after BoE rates comments
LONDON, Oct (Shenzhen: 000069.SZ - news) 17 (Reuters) - British government bond yields
fell to their lowest levels in a month on Tuesday as comments
from Bank of England policymakers led investors to reduce some
of their bets on the outlook for higher interest rates in
Britain.
Twenty and 30-year gilt yields
dropped around six basis points on the day as prices surged to
their highest since Sept. 14, the day the BoE (Shenzhen: 000725.SZ - news) surprised
investors by saying most of its monetary policymakers thought it
was likely that rates would need to rise in the coming months.
New BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden distanced himself from
this majority view in his first public comments on policy during
testimony to lawmakers on Tuesday.
Another relative newcomer to the Monetary Policy Committee,
Silvana Tenreyro, said she thought the BoE was approaching a
tipping point on rates but that view was "very contingent on the
data" and she said wage growth had been "very, very weak."
BoE Governor Mark Carney said the central bank still had to
balance the need to support job creation and growth with an
inflation rate that is running above target.
The yield on 10-year British government bonds
fell six basis points to bottom out at 1.274 percent at 1152
GMT, its lowest since Sept. 15.
The gilt also outperformed against its European peers, with
the spread over 10-year Bunds tightening by six
basis points to 90.9 basis points. This puts it on track for its
strongest daily relative performance since Aug. 3, when the BoE
gave a downbeat assessment of Britain's growth prospects.
Investors shrugged off data on Tuesday which showed consumer
price inflation hit a five-year high of 3.0 percent in
September, above the BoE's 2 percent target. The BoE and most
economists think it is likely to start to fall soon as the
effect of sterling weakness slowly fades.
JP Morgan analyst Allan Monks said investors were still
pricing in an 80 percent chance of a rate hike on Nov. 2, after
the BoE's next meeting, but the central bank was unlikely to
signal that a second hike would follow very quickly.
"We expect the BoE to strike a cautious tone in November,
while indicating that further tightening will still probably be
required next year," he said in a note to clients.
Short sterling interest rate futures for November
were relatively little changed on the day, up by 2 ticks, but
those for December 2018 were 5 ticks higher, suggesting
reduced confidence about the scale of rate hikes in 2018.
Dec (Shanghai: 600875.SS - news) long gilt future 124.90 (+0.70)
Dec 2017 short sterling 99.475 (+0.01)
March 2018 short sterling 99.34 (+0.03)
10-year gilt yield 1.275 pct (-6 bps)
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Long Gilt futures Gilt benchmark chain
Short Stg futures Cash market quotes
Deposit rates Sterling cross rates
UK debt speedguide
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Gilts Sterling
Euro Debt Dollar
U.S. Treasuries Debt reports
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Gilt strips data All gilt strips
Gilt strips IO Gilt strips PO
(Reporting by William Schomberg; Editing by Hugh Lawson)