Magic Software Enterprises Ltd. (NASDAQ:MGIC), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$17.49 and falling to the lows of US$12.91. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Magic Software Enterprises' current trading price of US$12.91 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Magic Software Enterprises’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Is Magic Software Enterprises Still Cheap?
Magic Software Enterprises appears to be overvalued by 31% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$12.91 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of $9.83. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Magic Software Enterprises’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What kind of growth will Magic Software Enterprises generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Magic Software Enterprises' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 31%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in MGIC’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe MGIC should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on MGIC for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for MGIC, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Magic Software Enterprises at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Magic Software Enterprises and you'll want to know about it.
If you are no longer interested in Magic Software Enterprises, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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