- By GF Value
The stock of Vivopower International PLC (NAS:VVPR, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $6.74 per share and the market cap of $114.2 million, Vivopower International PLC stock shows every sign of being significantly overvalued. GF Value for Vivopower International PLC is shown in the chart below.
Because Vivopower International PLC is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which is estimated to grow 9.81% annually over the next three to five years.
Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company's financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. Vivopower International PLC has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.68, which which ranks worse than 70% of the companies in Semiconductors industry. The overall financial strength of Vivopower International PLC is 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Vivopower International PLC is poor. This is the debt and cash of Vivopower International PLC over the past years:
Companies that have been consistently profitable over the long term offer less risk for investors who may want to purchase shares. Higher profit margins usually dictate a better investment compared to a company with lower profit margins. Vivopower International PLC has been profitable 1 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $40 million and loss of $0.49 a share. Its operating margin is 0.26%, which ranks worse than 73% of the companies in Semiconductors industry. Overall, the profitability of Vivopower International PLC is ranked 1 out of 10, which indicates poor profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Vivopower International PLC over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of Vivopower International PLC is -5.3%, which ranks worse than 72% of the companies in Semiconductors industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -75.7%, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Semiconductors industry.
One can also evaluate a company's profitability by comparing its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the return on invested capital exceeds the weighted average cost of capital, the company is likely creating value for its shareholders. During the past 12 months, Vivopower International PLC's ROIC is 0.20 while its WACC came in at 26.68. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Vivopower International PLC is shown below:
Overall, Vivopower International PLC (NAS:VVPR, 30-year Financials) stock gives every indication of being significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is poor. Its growth ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Semiconductors industry. To learn more about Vivopower International PLC stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.