Advertisement
UK markets open in 6 hours 47 minutes
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,460.08
    0.00 (0.00%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,201.27
    +372.34 (+2.21%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    82.69
    -0.12 (-0.14%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,328.00
    -10.40 (-0.44%)
     
  • DOW

    38,460.92
    -42.77 (-0.11%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    51,616.26
    -1,819.93 (-3.41%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,388.57
    -35.53 (-2.49%)
     
  • NASDAQ Composite

    15,712.75
    +16.11 (+0.10%)
     
  • UK FTSE All Share

    4,374.06
    -4.69 (-0.11%)
     

Volatility 101: Should City Pub Group (LON:CPC) Shares Have Dropped 12%?

Want to participate in a short research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and you could win a $250 gift card!

Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Investors in The City Pub Group plc (LON:CPC) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 12%. That contrasts poorly with the market return of 2.4%. City Pub Group hasn't been listed for long, so although we're wary of recent listings that perform poorly, it may still prove itself with time. The share price has dropped 13% in three months.

View our latest analysis for City Pub Group

ADVERTISEMENT

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the last year City Pub Group grew its earnings per share, moving from a loss to a profit. Earnings per share growth rates aren't particularly useful for comparing with the share price, when a company has moved from loss to profit. So it makes sense to check out some other factors.

Given the yield is quite low, at 1.3%, we doubt the dividend can shed much light on the share price. City Pub Group managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since we can't easily explain the share price movement based on these metrics, it might be worth considering how market sentiment has changed towards the stock.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

AIM:CPC Income Statement, July 12th 2019
AIM:CPC Income Statement, July 12th 2019

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

A Different Perspective

While City Pub Group shareholders are down 11% for the year (even including dividends), the market itself is up 2.4%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. It's worth noting that the last three months did the real damage, with a 13% decline. So it seems like some holders have been dumping the stock of late - and that's not bullish. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.