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Why Grainger plc (LON:GRI) Could Be Worth Watching

Simply Wall St

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Grainger plc (LON:GRI), which is in the real estate business, and is based in United Kingdom, saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the LSE over the last few months. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Grainger’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Grainger

Is Grainger still cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 11.6x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 11.61x, which means if you buy Grainger today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe Grainger should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond where it’s currently trading. Furthermore, it seems like Grainger’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of Grainger look like?

LSE:GRI Past and Future Earnings, April 9th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 55% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Grainger. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in GRI’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at GRI? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on GRI, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for GRI, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Grainger. You can find everything you need to know about Grainger in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Grainger, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.