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Xerox Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ:XRX) Just Released Its First-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

There's been a notable change in appetite for Xerox Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ:XRX) shares in the week since its first-quarter report, with the stock down 11% to US$14.38. The result was fairly weak overall, with revenues of US$1.5b being 4.1% less than what the analysts had been modelling. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

See our latest analysis for Xerox Holdings

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Taking into account the latest results, the five analysts covering Xerox Holdings provided consensus estimates of US$6.52b revenue in 2024, which would reflect a small 2.3% decline over the past 12 months. Xerox Holdings is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$2.18 per share. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$6.59b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.25 in 2024. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

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It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at US$16.20, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Xerox Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$19.00 and the most bearish at US$14.00 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. One thing that stands out from these estimates is that shrinking revenues are expected to moderate over the period ending 2024 compared to the historical decline of 6.4% per annum over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for companies in the broader industry, which suggest that revenues (in aggregate) are expected to grow 4.8% annually. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately Xerox Holdings is expected to see its revenue affected worse than other companies in the industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Xerox Holdings going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Xerox Holdings (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.