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American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)

NasdaqGS - NasdaqGS Real-time price. Currency in USD
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20.37-1.18 (-5.48%)
At close: 4:00PM EDT

20.04 -0.33 (-1.62%)
Pre-market: 8:26AM EDT

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  • Y
    YourMaster
    The Last 5 Days of Travel:
    4/19/2021 1,412,500
    4/18/2021 1,572,383
    4/17/2021 1,277,815
    4/16/2021 1,468,218
    4/15/2021 1,491,435

    Not Worried at all.
  • T
    Tyrone
    Back in for the millionth time... This time 500 shares. Looking for 30s by July
  • J
    Jeff
    Thanks to the ramping up of VERY enthusiastic post-covid travelers, no matter what the short term, AAL will be going higher than 25. Not sure how much higher, spikes maybe to 28 or so, higher than 25 nonetheless. Bank on it. Only shorts will tell you otherwise.
  • M
    Mark
    today is not the day to sell, weak hands sell on days like today, weak hands lose $, today might be the day to buy, the bottom is very near, tomorrow might be an up day
  • T
    TimT
    Where were we? Roughly about 16 trading days ago, I did say "if there is any risk appearing in the horizon, you know the share price will retreat a lot faster. If the stock price drops to low 22s, then the next support level will be low $20s. So keep an eye on any developments that may present risk for AAL share price."

    (link : https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAL/community?p=AAL&messageId=95df85b6-c037-4633-afec-5f086de13227&replyId=a8c513b5-f36a-4862-91c0-4a86098eb6cb&bcmt=1)

    If the earning is not good and outlook is grim, expect the stock price to drop to low $18s. However, personally, I think AAL will do better than DAL and UAL just like I thought in the last two quarters. Thus, it all depends on the demand-supply which will determine what direction the stock price will move following on 4/22. If shorts have the courage, they can short AAL shares more thus sinking stock price further.

    Date___the total shares being shorted___ Short interest(SI)% ____Share Price
    12/31/20___171.3M___ SI is 26.7%____Share price is $15.77

    In mid-March___SI is about 74M and stock price reached as much as $26.20
    SI has dropped by 57% while stock price has gained AMA 66%

    On 04/20/21 : If SI is 77M(12%) or 96MM (15%), then SI is down -45%(@12%) or SI is down -56% (@15%) while the share Price is up 27% at $20.07 in comparison to the figures are given on 12/31/20. This may tell us that the short recovery is happening faster than the share price rise at a ratio of closer to 1.6 to 2.0

    However, that was just the opposite in April when the short interest level dropped by 57% while the share price rose 66%.

    This is clearer if we compare April and Mid March numbers. If we say there has not been any significant change in SI since mid-March (it appears that it SI has been up a couple of percentages, I might be wrong), or use the same assumption above that the SI is between 77M(12%) and 96M(15%) currently, that is an increase of between 4% and 30% in SI but the change in share price is -23%. In others words, the rate of change in share price as the people keep selling AAL shares is higher than the rate of change in SI. The resistance by the long position holders is not strong enough.

    We can say that the shorts with the support from those with bearish/neutral sentiments as a result of the weak quarterly results from DAL and UAL, dictate the share price nowadays. Doug Parker, the Brutus in AAL, has already sunk a dagger in AAL's valuation last week.
  • L
    Lukas
    WFT this reaction is?? They are trying to scare us off today and tomorrow the stocks will rise hard
  • O
    Ochirbat
    that is seriously funny to imply something like that when we are in the mid of getting out of this pandemic. Also, the company has been around for very long time and obviously through out its existence market have had its ups and downs. people travel no matter what and its gonna pick up.
  • A
    ALI
    bought 150 june call options plus 7000 shares
  • Y
    YourMaster
    Closing Green today, and next week, AAL will be back above $23.50.
    1,000,000+ people Flying Everyday !! Hold Strong !!
  • S
    Smitty
    Until we get some good COVID-19 news, airlines will be under pressure. But when we do, you may not be able to get back in before a several dollar price increase. For those who remain long and optimistic, the rewards should outweigh the short term stress.
  • S
    Smitty
    I can honestly say that I have never shorted a single stock. It is immoral to profit from the misery of others. It is the polar opposite of investing and should be illegal.
  • L
    Luke
    looks like several European countries are looking at opening up their countries to domestic and US travelers before the summer tourism season starts - ie May 1st - at least for those who have had their shots. but then our dim-wit president SloJoe says we won't do that covid passport stuff

    Airlines are already running full but this will add the more profitable foreign and business travel
  • R
    RichardZ
    Loading up on this. This is a no brainer. International travel returning this summer.
  • V
    Vizzet
    Why airlines is going down everyday??? Anybody been to airport? Did you see how crowded a plane has been?
  • s
    stksue
    American Air To Fly Near Pre-Pandemic Levels This Summer; Airline Stocks Rebound
  • U
    Unclespeaks
    It IS AAL, alright, and it IS still an Airlines, and the bad reputation of going straight down (or Up) for several days has been very Normal so far but the damage was not minor this time.
    AAL has suffered 9 straight days down, as of yesterday, tied previous twin records, the last 2 times from 4/20-5/2/2016 AAL was down 16.46%, from 7/25-8/6/2019 it was down 17.7%, this time was 9.07% as of Yesterday. Record was 11 down days from 11/4-11/18/2015 and AAL was ONLY down 10.2%.
    AAL counting Today is over 10% from $24.23 10 sessions ago.
    AAL is very near the end of the downturn...
  • S
    S
    (Bloomberg) -- American Airlines Group Inc. delayed deliveries of more than three dozen Boeing Co. aircraft for as long as three years and projected a deeper loss than analysts expected as the coronavirus pandemic continues to quash corporate and international travel.
    Eighteen 737 Max jets that were to be delivered this year and next will be postponed to 2023 and 2024, the carrier said in a regulatory filing Tuesday. American will also take fourteen 787-8 planes at the end of the next year’s first quarter, instead of this year. Another five of that wide-body aircraft will be converted to the 787-9 version, with shipment delayed until 2023.
    The first-quarter adjusted loss will be $4.29 to $4.41 a share, American said. Analysts had projected $4.05, according to the average of estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Revenue will decline 62% from the same quarter in 2019, before the pandemic decimated travel. The Fort Worth, Texas-based company previously said the drop could reach 65%.
    American’s revenue projection meshed with a similar outlook from United Airlines Holdings Inc. as increased vaccinations against Covid-19 fuel a rebound in domestic flying. International and business demand has stagnated at as much as 80% below 2019 levels, however.
    The optimism over domestic travel was dealt a blow Tuesday, as U.S. health officials called for an immediate pause in the use of Johnson & Johnson’s vaccine over concerns about blood clots.
    American dropped 2.7% to $22.30 at 9:36 a.m. in New York, with much of the decline spurred by the J&J news before the start of regular trading. Other carriers and cruise lines declined as well.

    (Updates with projected loss in first paragraph. A previous version of this story was corrected to indicate that aircraft delivery deferrals weren’t limited to the 737 Max)
  • j
    j
    only 6000 of 84 million vaccinared have contracted corona ..nuff said and buy this
  • G
    Garrett
    Maybe it's not coming back. My position is down 17 percent, is it time to unload before this gets worse?
  • U
    Unclespeaks
    Let Kirby see the "Clear Path to Profitability", don't try to drag Parker down. AAL has completed 10th day of downturn, there's No Need to challenge the all-time 11-day down.
    UAL's losing was very close to the lowest estimate till the same guy again revised it down to ($7.62), again, UAL's ($7.5) EPS was very close to their guidance, investors should concentrate on Kirby's "CLEAR PATH to Profitability"!
    Note: UAL missed Top and Bottom Line, according Dead Fish consensus estimate.