BAC Feb 2020 31.000 call

OPR - OPR Delayed price. Currency in USD
-0.0500 (-1.64%)
As of 3:03PM EST. Market open.
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Previous close3.0500
Expiry date2020-02-21
Day's range2.7400 - 3.0000
Contract rangeN/A
Open interestN/A
  • Hong Kong Banks Send Some Staff Home as Tear Gas Wafts Outside

    Hong Kong Banks Send Some Staff Home as Tear Gas Wafts Outside

    (Bloomberg) -- Major Hong Kong banks spent their morning telling employees to commute carefully, and by afternoon began urging them to consider going home as police lobbed tear gas at protesters on the streets outside.“Your safety is our top priority,” HSBC Holdings Plc wrote to staff around lunchtime, inviting them to use their judgment in leaving and noting the firm will remain open. “Please take laptops home if you are able to work remotely.”Most of the city’s major investment banks and other financial firms tried to operate normally, though some lenders closed branches near flareups as a precaution, after the death of a student fueled a surge of unrest. For much of Hong Kong, the morning presented one of the tensest commutes in months as demonstrations closed some subway stations. As employees arrived at JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s main offices, police in riot gear could be seen gathering across the street.Pro-democracy demonstrations escalated further after an officer shot two protesters. By lunch, television footage showed workers in business suits and skirts covering their faces and flocking into the Landmark Mall in Central -- an area flanked by bank towers -- to escape tear gas. Meantime, banks sent workers fresh waves of emails urging them to be careful.Bank of America Corp. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. also gave employees the option of heading out, and UBS Group AG is planning a similar move, according to people with direct knowledge of the internal conversations.“Ongoing public events are impacting travel and may continue in the coming days,” HSBC said in its message to staff. “You are encouraged to make plans to leave the office early and under safe conditions if you foresee disruption to your commute.”BNP Paribas SA promised workers it would monitor the situation and alert them to new developments. Employees there can confer with managers to decide what to do.“Continue to exercise care and caution whilst traveling to or around our office premises,” the bank cautioned them in a memo. “Please also remember to carry your laptops to and from work on a daily basis.”\--With assistance from Bei Hu.To contact the reporters on this story: Alfred Liu in Hong Kong at;Cathy Chan in Hong Kong at kchan14@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Jun Luo at, David ScheerFor more articles like this, please visit us at©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

  • Why Financials ETFs Are On Fire

    Why Financials ETFs Are On Fire

    Financials ETFs have been rising of late. Find out why.

  • Bank of America, Raymond James to pay $12 million for college fund overcharges

    Bank of America, Raymond James to pay $12 million for college fund overcharges

    The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority said Bank of America's Merrill Lynch unit will pay at least $4 million and two Raymond James units will pay $8.03 million, after failing to ensure that financial advisers properly took fees into account when recommending investments in so-called 529 savings plans. FINRA said the supervisory failures caused Merrill and Raymond James customers, especially those with young children many years away from college, to incur higher fees than they should have.

  • Troubled Times in Latin America Fail to Dull Brazil's Sheen

    Troubled Times in Latin America Fail to Dull Brazil's Sheen

    (Bloomberg) -- For all its political woes and still-stale economy, Brazil is standing out to investors as an unlikely island of stability as trouble brews across Latin America.Money managers from Pacific Investment Management Co. and BlackRock Inc. are among those bullish on the nation’s assets. The main reason is the extensive reform agenda of the government, which after successfully overhauling a burdensome pension system now plans to tackle everything from a notoriously complicated tax system to a bloated state structure. The central bank has added to the optimism by slashing interest rates to a record as inflation runs below the target.Listen to the Speaking of EM podcast on Brazil here.It’s a very different picture elsewhere in the region, which has been engulfed by growing political turmoil. Over the past few weeks, Chile and Ecuador declared states of emergency amid violent protests, Argentina tightened capital controls after the election of Alberto Fernandez, Peru’s President shut the congress, and clashes erupted in Bolivia after Evo Morales was elected for a fourth term as president.“Brazil is certainly standing out,” said Axel Christensen, the chief strategist for Latin America at BlackRock in New York. The prospect of tax, federal and administrative reforms, combined with low rates, are all boosting investor appetite for the country, he said.The upbeat mood is clear in asset moves, which have mostly shrugged off the infighting in the ruling party and controversies surrounding President Jair Bolsonaro. The Brazilian real was the best performer in the region last month and stocks are trading at an all-time high. The main exchange-traded fund dedicated to the country’s stocks, the $9.4 billion iShares MSCI Brazil ETF, just had its biggest monthly inflow this year, and country’s risk as measured by five-year credit default swaps is at the lowest level since 2013 -- a time when Brazil’s debt was still rated investment grade.“While Brazil is no stranger to political turmoil, its political class has started to understand the need to shield the economic agenda from political noise,” said Ismael Orenstein, a money manager at Pimco in Newport Beach who’s overweight Brazil’s local assets. “We are also starting to see some green shoots on the activity and credit side that make us more positive on the outlook for economic growth and assets such as the currency and corporate credit.”This week, Brazil’s government announced a series of economic measures, with officials outlining plans to halt minimum wage increases, decentralize the budget and resume privatization of the utility Eletrobras. The country is also holding what may be the world’s priciest-ever sale of oil prospects.After years of growth disappointments, some analysts are becoming more bullish on Brazil’s economy, saying 2020 is the year the country will finally deliver a positive surprise. They are betting record low borrowing costs will boost lending and consumer spending, and the conclusion of the pension reform after years of debate will give foreign investors more confidence to put money in the country.Progress in the reform agenda, low inflation and monetary easing are already lifting confidence levels and this could indicate a sustained recovery in economic activity, Bank of America Merrill Lynch economists led by David Beker wrote in a Wednesday report. They recently revised up their growth forecast for next year to 2.4% from 1.9%, above the market median of 2%.“Getting pension reform passed is going to be big in the short and long term, and the government still seems serious and optimistic about plans to privatize more assets,” said Brendan McKenna, a currency strategist at Wells Fargo Securities LLC in New York.His optimism doesn’t spread to all the rest of the region. McKenna says he has become more worried about Chile, as the cancellation of the Apec Summit in Santiago “admits some type of defeat,” while Argentina is “still a mess.” He’s more bullish on Colombia, where he says the economy is doing relatively well and inflation is low and somewhat stable.In Mexico, meanwhile, bearish views are mounting. Morgan Stanley on Wednesday recommended taking profit in the country’s assets as the risk of a fiscal slippage, unlikelihood of a growth pick up, heavy positioning and stretched valuations mean the returns are no longer compensating the risk. They said at current prices they prefer to hold Brazil’s sovereign bonds over Mexico’s, especially in the 10 to 30 year space.“Brazilian assets have further upside, mainly due to the impact of lower rates, privatization and micro economic reforms,” said Gustavo Medeiros, the deputy head of research at Ashmore Group Plc in London. “It won’t be a straight line, but the case for a sustainable rebound on earnings and subsequently investment and GDP growth is there.”(Adds economic measures and oil auction in seventh paragraph, analysts comments in ninth and 12th paragrahs.)To contact the reporter on this story: Aline Oyamada in Sao Paulo at aoyamada3@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Carolina Wilson at, Julia Leite, Philip SandersFor more articles like this, please visit us at©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

  • IBM, Bank of America team up to launch financial services-specific cloud

    IBM, Bank of America team up to launch financial services-specific cloud

    The public platform, IBM's first industry-specific cloud, is designed to meet the high regulatory, security and resiliency standards required of the financial services industry. "By setting a standard that addresses the concern of hosting highly confidential information, we aim to drive the public cloud to a safety level that is unmatched,” said Cathy Bessant, chief operations and technology officer of Bank of America. Bank of America has focused on its internal cloud computing capabilities.

  • The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Bank of America, Fannie Mae, JPMorgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo

    The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Bank of America, Fannie Mae, JPMorgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo

    The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Bank of America, Fannie Mae, JPMorgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo

  • Banks to Benefit From Easing of False Claims Act by HUD

    Banks to Benefit From Easing of False Claims Act by HUD

    Banks' worries will likely ease as the HUD issues a MOU with the DOJ for the appropriate use of the False Claims Act in relation to violations by FHA-insured mortgage lenders.

  • Business Wire

    Bank of America Accelerates Move to $20 per Hour Minimum Wage in 2020

    Bank of America today announced that it is accelerating the move from its current U.S. minimum hourly rate of pay of $17 to $20 by the end of the first quarter of 2020, more than a year earlier than originally planned. “As part of our commitment to being a great place to work, we are saying thank you, and sharing our success with our teammates who serve our clients and communities every day,” said Sheri Bronstein, chief human resources officer at Bank of America. Bank of America is committed to supporting a competitive rate of pay, and has made regular increases to its minimum wage over many years.

  • Big Banks Q3 Earnings Scorecard: What Investors Should Know

    Big Banks Q3 Earnings Scorecard: What Investors Should Know

    Wall Street banking giants - JPM, BAC, C and WFC's - third-quarter results reflect consumer banking strength and adverse impact from lower interest rates.


    Stocks - U.S. Futures Jump After White House Considers Huawei Trade Exceptions - Futures surged on Monday after news that American companies could be licensed to sell to Huawei and a strong jobs report last week helped lift sentiment.

  • What Are Warren Buffett's Top 10 Stock Holdings?

    What Are Warren Buffett's Top 10 Stock Holdings?

    Warren Buffett is one of the most legendary investors on Wall Street. What are the top stocks that he owns?

  • Zacks Value Trader Highlights: Bank of America, PNC Financial, US Bancorp, Goldman Sachs and M&T Bank

    Zacks Value Trader Highlights: Bank of America, PNC Financial, US Bancorp, Goldman Sachs and M&T Bank

    Zacks Value Trader Highlights: Bank of America, PNC Financial, US Bancorp, Goldman Sachs and M&T Bank

  • Bull Of The Day: Square (SQ)

    Bull Of The Day: Square (SQ)

    Bull Of The Day: Square (SQ)

  • Bloomberg

    BNP's $300 Billion Hedge Fund Gamble

    (Bloomberg Opinion) -- It’s rare for a European bank to be adding businesses nowadays, as capital constraints curtail dealmaking. The takeover of Deutsche Bank AG’s hedge fund activities by France’s BNP Paribas SA is an exception.There’s no mistaking what’s driving BNP: Absorbing a larger competitor with a chunky client base is one way to try to salvage its own ailing hedge fund division, and to stop its rivals from snapping up Deutsche’s clients themselves. Yet the French bank’s struggles in this business beg the question as to how easily the two units can be combined, let alone expanded.Income from BNP’s equity arm and its operations servicing hedge funds (which sit together in one division of the bank) declined for the fourth consecutive quarter in the three months to September — a fall of 15% this time. A drop in equity derivatives revenue was offset partially by a slight increase in hedge fund business. That’s no doubt a signal from BNP that its gradual absorption of Deutsche’s unit is already encouraging more hedge funds to start using the French bank.BNP is taking over Deutsche Bank’s electronic trading platforms and wants to snag as many as possible of the German lender’s customers. It aims within a year to become one of the world’s top-four prime brokerages (which service hedge funds), Bloomberg News has reported. Ultimately it’s seeking to hold about $300 billion in hedge fund money, or “balances” in industry parlance. That compares with the $500 billion that JPMorgan Chase & Co. already oversees as one of the market leaders. The U.S. bank is eyeing $1 trillion.For the French lender, the long slog is just starting. While the takeover will be completed at the end of 2019, it will take another two years for as many as 1,000 Deutsche employees to move over to BNP. You need to tread carefully when hedge funds have the option of shifting their money to the big Wall Street prime brokerages. Deutsche’s clients have already been defecting and it’s uncertain how much of the $80 billion or so of balances it held in September will transfer across to BNP ultimately.After buying Bank of America Corp.’s prime broking activities in 2008, BNP has stayed focused on U.S. clients. Deutsche should bring more exposure to Asian and European clients, and its trading technology should let BNP go after big quant fund customers.The biggest difficulty is avoiding a culture clash. This deal will mean a sharp rise in the number of products the French bank offers to hedge funds, and its volume of work. Before now, its prime brokerage has been cautious when deciding the type of business (and client) it’s prepared to take on. Deutsche’s has been more adventurous. Melding these different approaches on how much leverage and risk to allow will be critical.There’s about $450 million of extra annual revenue up for grabs here, but BNP has more than $47 billion of yearly sales so it’s hardly game-changing. Venturing into the uncharted territory of a much bigger derivatives business will see BNP edging higher up the danger curve.To contact the authors of this story: Elisa Martinuzzi at emartinuzzi@bloomberg.netMarcus Ashworth at mashworth4@bloomberg.netTo contact the editor responsible for this story: James Boxell at jboxell@bloomberg.netThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Elisa Martinuzzi is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering finance. She is a former managing editor for European finance at Bloomberg News.Marcus Ashworth is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering European markets. He spent three decades in the banking industry, most recently as chief markets strategist at Haitong Securities in London.For more articles like this, please visit us at©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

  • Should Value Investors Buy Warren Buffett's Bank Stocks?

    Should Value Investors Buy Warren Buffett's Bank Stocks?

    The financials are one of the top value sectors in the stock market but how do you decide which banks to buy?

  • Are Bank Stocks Worth Buying on Rate Cut Pause, GDP Slowdown?

    Are Bank Stocks Worth Buying on Rate Cut Pause, GDP Slowdown?

    Though lower interest rates and economic slowdown are expected to hurt banks' financials, strategic initiatives undertaken by them are likely to offer some support.

  • Why Bank Stocks Weren’t Impacted by Fed’s Rate Cut
    Market Realist

    Why Bank Stocks Weren’t Impacted by Fed’s Rate Cut

    Shares of large US banks including JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo were trading in the green in the after-hours.

  • China Tech, at Center of Trade War, Is Haven for Bonds

    China Tech, at Center of Trade War, Is Haven for Bonds

    (Bloomberg) -- China’s technology ambitions are at the epicenter of the nation’s trade dispute with the U.S. Not that you’d know it from the bond market.Credit investors who bought Chinese tech debt at the start of the year are sitting on a 13% return, more than any other sector, Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes show. Industry titans from, Inc. to Tencent Holdings Ltd. and Sunny Optical Technology Group Co. are in favor with $213 billion wealth manager Pictet Wealth Management. With the trade war hanging over the global economy and tech in particular, this may seem counterintuitive. But President Donald Trump’s efforts to rein in Huawei Technologies Co. and force supply chain changes have little impact on large parts of the industry that are focused on domestic demand. Plus, the revenues of tech manufacturers that don’t export to the U.S. aren’t directly hit by Trump’s tariffs.“There are no Asian countries that are completely immune to the U.S.-China trade conflict, but we do see some resilient Chinese corporates,” said Thomas Wu, head of Asia fixed income at Pictet, highlighting Sunny Optical, and Tencent. “The tech-internet sector has been quite defensive in terms of how it’s faring in the trade war.”While the trade tariffs have seen some component makers like Sunny Optical look to set up factories outside China, their revenues are still largely dependent on customer demand, according to Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Charles Shum.Domestic consumers accounted for 84% of Sunny Optical’s revenue last year, while exports to the U.S. contributed only 2.1%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. For online retailer and internet giant Tencent, domestic demand accounted for at least 97% of their revenue in 2018.Even Huawei bonds aren’t faring too badly. The tech giant’s parent Huawei Investment & Holding Co. saw a strong onshore yuan bond debut last week, spurred in part by nationalistic buying. Its dollar bonds due 2026 and 2027 have returned at least 18% this year, beating the 10% from a Bloomberg Barclays index for emerging markets in Asia. Local demand accounted for more than half of the firm’s revenue last year.U.S. regulators are set to vote next month on a proposal to prevent government subsidies from being spent on gear from Huawei. The Trump administration in May moved to restrict U.S. companies from doing business with the Chinese tech giant, but it has since issued temporary licenses allowing some sales to the company.For the best returns from investing in Chinese corporate bonds, “technology selections need to be internally focused rather than exposed to what’s going on outside,” said Leo Hu, senior portfolio manager for hard-currency emerging market debt at NN Investment Partners Ltd., who doesn’t expect the U.S. to lower the tariffs on Chinese goods in the near term.Firms focused on certain parts of technology as well as the consumer sector will be the “rising stars” for China credit, according to Hu. The country’s large population and established industrial ecosystem will support its tech sector, he said.(Corrects name of fund in second paragraph of story initially published Oct. 29)To contact the reporters on this story: Rebecca Choong Wilkins in Hong Kong at;Annie Lee in Hong Kong at olee42@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Neha D'silva at, Magdalene FungFor more articles like this, please visit us at©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

  • The OUTstanding Top 50 LGBT+ Future Leaders 2019
    Yahoo Finance UK

    The OUTstanding Top 50 LGBT+ Future Leaders 2019

    All of the future models in this list, once they identify as LGBT+, can be in any position in a company and can be any nationality and based in any country.

  • Bank of America to give employees special bonuses for 2019 performance

    Bank of America to give employees special bonuses for 2019 performance

    "A critical part of our commitment to making Bank of America a great place to work is our ongoing focus on recognizing achievements and sharing our success," Chief Executive Officer Brian Moynihan said in a memo addressed to employees. The bank has paid out about $1.6 billion in special bonuses since 2017 and has set goal of raising its minimum wage to $20 over the next two years from $13.50 in 2017. The bonuses were reported earlier by Bloomberg.

  • Bank of America to Pay Special Bonuses for Third Year After Strong Earnings

    Bank of America to Pay Special Bonuses for Third Year After Strong Earnings

    (Bloomberg) -- Bank of America Corp. plans to pay its employees special bonuses for a third straight year after reporting record earnings in four of the past five quarters.The lender will give $1,000 in December to eligible employees who earn $100,000 or less annually, while higher-paid staff will receive a stock award next year, Chief Executive Officer Brian Moynihan said Tuesday in an internal memo. As they did last year, the payouts will apply to about 95% of the company’s workforce.“While our initial special compensation award originated from the benefits our company experienced from U.S. tax reform, our continued strong performance has allowed us to once again share the company’s success,” Moynihan wrote in the memo.Bank of America posted four quarters of record net income starting in mid-2018 before snapping that streak in the third quarter with an impairment charge linked to its exit from a payments joint venture. The three years of bonuses total about $1.6 billion, according to the memo.“You have to be able to drive profits, growth and success as a company, and you have to address the broader aims of society,” Moynihan said in an interview in New York this month.Under the latest plan, employees who earn $100,000 to $350,000 will be granted 200 to 500 restricted stock units in the first quarter.The lender will run print ads in more than 90 local markets touting the program, alongside photos and email addresses for its market presidents in those areas.To contact the reporter on this story: Lananh Nguyen in New York at lnguyen35@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Michael J. Moore at, Daniel Taub, Steven CrabillFor more articles like this, please visit us at©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

  • S&P 500 at All-Time High on Hopes of Trade Progress & Rate Cut

    S&P 500 at All-Time High on Hopes of Trade Progress & Rate Cut

    While trade-sensitive tech stocks will gain as phase-one negotiation is progressing well, rate cut hopes will drive capital intensive utility stocks.

  • Of Course Stocks Reached a New Record: It’s Oct. 28.

    Of Course Stocks Reached a New Record: It’s Oct. 28.

    (Bloomberg Opinion) -- There’s a very good reason why the S&P 500 Index rallied to close at a record high on Monday: It was the 28th of October. LPL Financial crunched the data going back to 1950 and found that Oct. 28 is historically the best day of the year for stocks, with equities rising 0.54% on average.Crediting the jump in stocks to a day on the calendar may be intellectually flimsy, but you sure can’t pin it on the fundamentals. The move higher came on the same day that the National Association for Business Economics released a survey saying that more American companies are reporting negative impacts from U.S. tariffs, especially among goods producers. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta said Monday that its GDPNow index – which attempts to gauge economic growth in real time – has dropped to 1.675, its lowest level since early September. And there’s more: the Chicago Fed said its National Activity Index for September contracted, while the Dallas Fed said its regional manufacturing index fell back below zero.Sure, corporate earnings are doing slightly better than expected, but that’s not saying much.  Third-quarter earnings are tracking at a 3% decline from a year earlier versus the 4% drop that was forecast. But that’s all in the past. The problem is that the outlook is deteriorating. Forecasts for the fourth quarter have been cut to a gain of 1.2% from the 5.4% increase that was seen at the end of July, according to Cantor Fitzgerald. The one positive for stocks was a statement from President Donald Trump, who said the U.S. was ahead of schedule to sign part of a trade deal with China. But there’s been so many false starts when it comes to a trade agreement that it’s surprising traders wouldn’t demand to see a signed document before getting too bullish. The truth is that this year’s deteriorating fundamentals have supported the bearish narrative, but the 20% gain in the S&P 500 shows how the market doesn’t always act rationally.Perhaps the reason stocks have done so well is because the bears are throwing in the towel, finding it increasingly expensive to finance positions that would profit from a drop in equities. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says the outflow from U.S. equity funds this year has been the biggest since 2008, relative to the flood of money into cash and bonds. As for what’s ahead, LPL has something that should add even more misery to the bears: Not only is Oct. 28 the best day of the year for stocks, it also markets the start for what has historically been the best six-month period for equities.BONDS TAKE A HITAll that cash Goldman Sachs says is flowing out of stocks and into bonds didn’t help the government debt market on Monday. Yields on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to their highest since mid-September, reaching 1.86%, even though the Federal Reserve is forecast on Wednesday to cut interest rates for the third time since July. There are two big-picture things working against the bond market at the moment. The first is that in the U.S., traders expect the Treasury Department this week to provide an update on how it plans to f inance a growing budget deficit that has reached about $1 trillion. Not only is it likely that the U.S. will soon be boosting its borrowing, it’s also possible officials will introduce a 20-year security for the first time. Such speculation may be a reason long-term yields have risen more than short-term ones in recent weeks. The second is more of a global issue, with more major central banks — including those in the euro zone, Sweden and Japan — signaling that ever lower rates are no longer the answer to getting the worldwide economy going again. “The August lows in global bond yields, of which $17 trillion were yielding below zero, will be the lows for a while to come,” Bleakley Financial Group Chief Investment Officer Peter Boockvar wrote in a note to clients Monday.DOLLAR DOWNSIDEThe Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell on Monday, and is heading for a monthly loss in October. This should be a good thing for the U.S. economy, because we’re seeing just how much of an impediment the measure’s 2.69% surge in the third quarter was for  corporate earnings, especially exporters. TS Lombard is out with a new report finding that of the companies that have posted third-quarter results, the average currency impact on earnings ranged from about negative $20 million to about negative $80 million, depending on the sector. The drag from a stronger dollar is worse now than it was in 2015, even though the currency’s appreciation has been far tamer. Back then, the dollar was recovering from an extended period of underperformance and wasn’t deemed to be overvalued. Now, it is seen as too strong. “We have been arguing that for the (dollar) to weaken we need better data in the rest of the world, which effectively means we need trade deals,” the foreign-exchange strategists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch wrote in a research note Monday. “But we are skeptical that the (dollar) pullback can extend. Within the context of a fragile global economy, there has been lack of progress on structural policy matters needed to reduce the elevated state of global uncertainty, which has disproportionately affected more trade and manufacturing-exposed countries outside of the U.S. If and when this happens, the dollar can start weakening, but at this time we have not seen a catalyst.”PALLADIUM CHARGES AHEADIn an otherwise middling year for the commodities market, palladium is anything but. The metal reached another milestone Monday, surging past $1,800 an ounce to set another high. That brings its gain in 2019 to 43%, compared with 2.61% for the broader Bloomberg Commodity Index. Palladium is a key component in  car making. But while auto production has been sluggish this year, demand for palladium has only increased due to stricter air-quality rules worldwide, given the metal’s use in vehicle pollution-control devices, according to Bloomberg News’s Joe Richter and Yvonne Yue Li. Palladium’s latest move higher is also partly due to concern that supplies are getting tighter. Production of platinum-group metals in South Africa shrank the most in 18 months in August, while growth in Russia stalled last month, government data show. Power outages in South Africa have helped cloud the supply outlook for palladium. Bloomberg News points out that automakers may seek lower-cost alternatives to palladium, with platinum often mentioned as a possible option. Research, though, has shown that technological advances are needed before it can match the performance of palladium-based catalytic converters, according to Johnson Matthey, which makes the devices. That bodes well for further gains in palladium.ON A ROLLBarring a last-minute disaster, October will turn out to be a banner month for emerging-market assets in as good a sign as any that perhaps the global synchronized slowdown might be about to reverse. The MSCI EM Index of equities is up 4.19% this month, topping the 2.57% gain in the broader MSCI All-Country World Index for the first time since January. An MSCI index of EM currencies has a good chance of posting its best month since January, and a Bloomberg Barclays index of local currency bonds is one of the better performers in the global debt market, having risen 1.83% in October through Friday. BlackRock Inc., one of the world’s largest investment firms, says now isn’t the time to cull some profits. It’s especially attracted to emerging-market debt. BlackRock favors local-currency markets, which could rally more as 2019 winds down amid a range-bound dollar and possible monetary easing in many emerging markets amid benign inflation, according to Bloomberg News’s Sydney Maki. Some of the best opportunities are in Latin American nations such as Brazil and Mexico, and in countries not directly exposed to U.S.-China tensions, such as India. Regardless of whether anyone agrees with BlackRock, the fact is that emerging-markets are becoming a much bigger part of the global economy and financial system. BNY Mellon says that emerging-markets now account for 43% of global gross domestic product, up from 39% in 2011.TEA LEAVESThe strong American consumer has been credited with propping up the economy as global growth slows and the U.S-China trade war drags on. Lately, though, there are signs that cracks are beginning to form. Serious delinquencies on credit cards and auto debt have been creeping up in recent quarters, leading some banks to set aside more money to cover bad loans and tighten lending standards, according to Bloomberg News’s Claire Boston and Elizabeth Rembert. Adding to the concerns, they report, was an unexpected drop in retail sales in September, the first decline in seven months. The Conference Board will provide a monthly update on the state of consumers on Tuesday when it releases its measure of confidence for October. The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg is for a reading of 128, up from 125.1 in September.  An increase is certainly a positive, but that would only put it around is average level for the year, with the index ranging between the low of 121.70 in January and the high of 135.8 in July.DON’T MISS Thank These Five Stocks as S&P 500 Hits Record: Robert Burgess Don’t Let the U.S. Economy Hit Stall Speed: Bill Dudley Expect the Fed to Put Conditions on Further Rate Cuts: Tim Duy Trillion-Dollar Deficit May Be What Economy Needs: Karl Smith Slinging Mud Won't Secure the World's Oil Supply: Julian LeeTo contact the author of this story: Robert Burgess at bburgess@bloomberg.netTo contact the editor responsible for this story: Beth Williams at bewilliams@bloomberg.netThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Robert Burgess is an editor for Bloomberg Opinion. He is the former global executive editor in charge of financial markets for Bloomberg News. As managing editor, he led the company’s news coverage of credit markets during the global financial crisis.For more articles like this, please visit us at©2019 Bloomberg L.P.


    Day Ahead: Top 3 Things to Watch - Here's a preview of the top 3 things that could rock markets tomorrow.

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