|Day's range||1.114 - 1.117|
|52-week range||1.1028 - 1.1815|
Based on Friday’s price action and the close at 97.530, the direction of the September U.S. Dollar Index on Monday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the support cluster at 97.545 to 97.510.
It’s a particularly busy week ahead. The markets will need to monitor updates from the G7 summit, chatter on trade, Brexit and the stats.
The Canadian Dollar rose 0.15% against the U.S. Dollar. Gains were limited by a steep drop in crude oil prices. The Euro posted a 0.46% gain against the dollar, but due to its heavy weighting, it had the biggest influence on the index’s decline.
The Euro continue to hover during the week, going back and forth as there is a lot of uncertainty out there. Ultimately, the Federal Reserve and the ECB are both looking very dovish, so it causes a bit of confusion. Ultimately, one should take a look at the greater economic situation to see where the next likely move is.
The Euro continued to reach lower levels during the trading session on Friday, as we have continued to see a bit of negativity in the Euro, but with Jerome Powell getting ready to release a speech in Wyoming, we could see a bit of a short-term reaction.
This week was not a busy one for macroeconomic events, and it was also the quietest period of the summer lull, so most of the markets did not have strong moves. The brightest event of the week promises to be the speech of the Fed Powell’s head in Jackson Hole, starting at 14:00 GMT.
Based on the early price action, the direction of the EUR/USD on Friday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the uptrending Gann angle at 1.1067.
A relief rally in EUR/USD yesterday was short-lived as sellers pushed the exchange rate back towards the lower bound of a one-week range. Powell will be speaking later today, and volatility is expected.
Today, long-awaited, crucial event for the future of the American Dollar – Jackson Hole Symposium. Speech from Jerome Powell to be precise. Today is the day, where we should find out the FED’s sentiment towards the USD and their outlook on the monetary policy.
A scheduled FED Chair Powell speech from the Jackson Hole symposium is the main event of the day. He may feel Trump over his shoulder…
Today, ECB Meeting minutes read that the outlook for the economy remains weaker and further stimulus would come as early as in September. Greenback had maintained a choppy performance today, remaining within 98.14/98.38 range levels.
The Euro went back and forth during trading on Thursday again as we continue to find the 1.11 EUR level as a bit of a ceiling, but also have significant support just below. Ultimately, the market is waiting with bated breath to whatever happens and comes out of Jackson Hole.
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar dipped on Thursday before recovering after data showed a decline in the manufacturing and services sector as businesses remain wary about the health of the U.S. economy.
Despite the Fed meeting minutes yesterday and positive Euro data today, EUR/USD continues to trade within a range that started a week ago.
It’s often like this prior to market-moving events. Prices keep trading in a narrow consolidation, dropping subtle clues here and there. The context remains though, and coupled with the preceding price action, it allows to us to see the market tipping its hand. So, how have we prepared for what’s to come?
It’s a busy day ahead as the markets react further to the FOMC meeting minutes. Chatter from Jackson Hole may overshadow the stats…
The Euro has gone back and forth during the trading session on Wednesday, as we continue to hang around the 1.11 EUR level, which of course is an area that has attracted a lot of attention recently, as we await the Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes, and then of course the speech from Jerome Powell on Friday.
Based on the early price action and the current price at 1.1104, the direction of the EUR/USD on Wednesday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the uptrending Gann angle at 1.1097.
EUR/USD caught a bid from support on Tuesday to end a 5-day consecutive decline. Volatility is expected in the session ahead as the Fed will release minutes from their latest meeting.
Apologies for the essay, but I was writing to a client about things that keep me up at night, other than an 11-month old, and it got a little out of hand. The central theme is that the big issue is that the global economy is bearing the impact of nine Fed hikes and $730b in balance sheet normalisation.
The S&P500; fell Tuesday, down 0.8%, and U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell 5bps to 1.55%. The market seems to have paid little attention to the U.S. president indicating he would explore” various tax reductions” to help stimulate growth, for example. Instead, investors succumbed to apprehension in rates and trade talks.
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar was hovering just below three-week highs in subdued trade on Wednesday as investors looked ahead to the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting later in the day for fresh clues on the monetary policy outlook.
The upward-facing USD/CHF pair was aiming to breach above the overhead red Ichimoku Clouds. After displaying three consecutive positive sessions in a row, the Japanese Yen pair was attempting to breach above the 106.742 resistance.