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Work & Management
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Royal Dutch Shell plc (RDSA.L)
LSE - LSE Delayed price. Currency in GBp
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Future of Crude and Natural Gas Prices
Current upward pressure should be no surprise to those who understand the industry. High prices encourage investment to the point of over supply...which cause lower prices and less investment and under supply...causing higher prices. With overrides of political and world events which can mute or enhance the normal cycles.
I am surprised (shocked?) that BvB stated not long ago that "prices would be lower for longer" and he has been in the business for some period of time. Hard to believe but true.....of course, he has said some other "strange" things...
Currently, I see political events and economic realities as enhancing the higher price longevity. Climate change, cancelling pipelines, cancelling leases or prohibiting them from being developed, frackers turning to profits over drilling more wells, companies planning for zero net emissions, et. al. While these trends will prolong the higher price trend, I do believe that eventually, the world will again over produce (just the opposite of a few short months ago when the "consensus" was that crude and producers were dead)...not all producers will cut back as have many in Europe and the US.
Not sure exactly when the major's stock prices will peak...but, for those waiting to abandon RDS, the time is not now...but there will be a point in the future...probably when we hear screams that high energy prices are crippling world economies and the markets begin to go South. A good time for traders but be watchful......
All in my view only......but would appreciate other views as well....
The thing about RDS and BP is that the institutional holdings of these 2 stocks is really low compared to the other US oil majors, mainly since these big boys have been apprehensive about the move towards more green energy initiatives from both companies.
However, with the energy crisis still at its infancy and no signs of abating, and big money looking for value stocks, there is no better value stock in the energy market big names compared to BP and RDS right now.
Once these institutional money starts flowing back to BP and RDS, that is when the real rocket takes off (the price runup we saw in the last money is NOTHING.
My prediction is that RDS will hit 60 by March 2022.
I cannot wait for rds earnings. They are going to report blowout earnings. Soon sub-50 will just be blip on the radar in a major energy bull market. Other than gazaprom, shell supplies so much natural gas to Europe. All the haters on this board better liquidate their shorts ASAP.
I have owned Shell stock since 1967. I remember when B share were more than $2 higher than A shares.
"Only" $10 more and I'm even :--)
Not calling out names here, (you know who you are!) but racist remarks about selling off shares in the ‘afternoon’ trade is ignoring the fact that the stock price has risen 21%+ over the last month alone - the general trend shows we are moving forward to a remarkable share price recovery to pre-pandemic levels and there have been 3 dividend increases since it was cut with more shareholder’s awards to follow. All things considered, that’s pretty positive in my humble opinion!?
$65 by Feb 2022 and annualized dividends back to $3.00+ after 4th Q earnings.
Me gusta Shell. I think it will be good shelter against inflation. Sector rotation is in sight.
Oil to 100 USD, Shell to 60 USD. Let's go! Can't wait for Q3 results.
I think this is the best time to sell and my reasoning is: oil and gas supply and demand are not natural right now, they are i would say artificial, as long as Opec is keeping a cap or the US producers are waiting. In one Opec meeting the oil price can drop 30% or more. It is definitely not the time to buy now, either sell as the price we have now is much beyond its annual average. Or wait for the price to drop by i would say 20-30% and then buy. It is my humble opinion
People are buying worthless goods like bitcoin, meme stocks. dodge coin, spacs. Money losing tech stocks. And the world took energy for granted. You need energy. You don't need cryptos, you don't need meme stocks and you don't need over priced tech stocks with zero earnings. Energy is non-negotiable.
Shell Production Decline
In its preview of Q3 results, Shell indicated that upstream production declined 6.4% year over year. While some of this decline is the result of Ida, divestments are likely the major cause of this decline. This is a concern as they also announced in the last earnings call that production would decline over the next decade or so by 1-2%/year.
To be consistent with the plan to decrease production by 1-2%/year, does this mean that Shell is considering an acquisition (I favor this) or that there are no further divestments coming (I also favor that)?
Hope someone asks a related question in the upcoming earnings call.....
They cut the dividends because the price of oil/gas would be low for longer period of time. Having the prices of oil/gas recovered fast, they should increase the dividend by 200%. This will increase the share price to $70.
So where is that cat that plastered this board 24/7 stating shells price was fixed??
What were their agenda?
Now it time to get the divy up by another percent....
Actually i dont really care the divy (but its good of course) . My real desire 60.00 or higher stock price.
Another 1.1 million shares retired. They are confident that retiring shares at this price is a good choice. $60 by EOY
Nice to be above $47... will we see $50... by end of October?.. Will dividend move back up too...??
Holding a boat load,
If it gets to 50 there’ll be lots of smiles.
LOL rds is going to report blowout numbers and stock drops. meanwhile people buying digital tokens with zero use cases like bitcoin and zero dividends and zero earnings.
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