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What Is Covestro's (ETR:1COV) P/E Ratio After Its Share Price Tanked?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Covestro (ETR:1COV) shares are down a considerable 34% in the last month. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 47% in that time.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

Check out our latest analysis for Covestro

How Does Covestro's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 8.51 that sentiment around Covestro isn't particularly high. If you look at the image below, you can see Covestro has a lower P/E than the average (15.5) in the chemicals industry classification.

XTRA:1COV Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020
XTRA:1COV Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020

Covestro's P/E tells us that market participants think it will not fare as well as its peers in the same industry. While current expectations are low, the stock could be undervalued if the situation is better than the market assumes. You should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

When earnings fall, the 'E' decreases, over time. That means unless the share price falls, the P/E will increase in a few years. So while a stock may look cheap based on past earnings, it could be expensive based on future earnings.

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Covestro shrunk earnings per share by 68% over the last year. But over the longer term (5 years) earnings per share have increased by 9.2%. And over the longer term (3 years) earnings per share have decreased 8.4% annually. This might lead to low expectations.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

How Does Covestro's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

Net debt totals just 5.5% of Covestro's market cap. It would probably trade on a higher P/E ratio if it had a lot of cash, but I doubt it is having a big impact.

The Bottom Line On Covestro's P/E Ratio

Covestro's P/E is 8.5 which is below average (16.8) in the DE market. The debt levels are not a major concern, but the lack of EPS growth is likely weighing on sentiment. Given Covestro's P/E ratio has declined from 12.9 to 8.5 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is more worried about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer invest in growth, this stock apparently offers limited promise, but the deep value investors may find the pessimism around this stock enticing.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.